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Super League
Referee: W Delajod
PAOK
T T T U S
2–0
Full-time
Olympiakos
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 36/37 matches
Win Ø 65%
61%
68%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
67%
70%
Both score Ø 54%
53%
54%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 4. · Olympiakos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 38 25 10 3 +48 85
2 Olympiakos 37 25 5 7 +49 80
3 Panathinaikos 38 24 5 9 +49 77
4 PAOK 36 22 6 8 +45 72
5 Aris Thessalonikis 34 15 7 12 +6 52
6 Aris 34 15 7 12 +6 52
7 Asteras Tripolis 35 12 5 18 -15 41
8 Panserraikos 35 9 12 14 -17 39
9 Lamia 37 10 9 18 -32 39
10 OFI Crete 35 8 14 13 -14 38
11 Atromitos 35 8 13 14 -17 37
12 Panetolikos 35 9 9 17 -20 36
13 Volos NFC 35 8 10 17 -23 34
14 Kifisia 35 5 12 18 -34 27
15 Giannina 35 4 12 19 -31 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Olympiakos
1–0 Taison
A. Živković
26′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. El Kaabi
↦ Fran Navarro
46′
🔁 Daniel Podence
↦ G. Masouras
Stefan Schwab 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 Daniel Podence
54′
🟨 David Carmo
Brandon Thomas 🟨
57′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ Brandon Thomas
59′
62′
🟨 Quini
2–0 A. Živković
G. Konstantelias
65′
68′
🔁 K. Fortounis
↦ Gelson Martins
68′
🔁 A. Apostolopoulos
↦ Quini
74′
🔁 João Carvalho
↦ Chiquinho
K. Despodov 🔁
↦ A. Živković
75′
T. Murg 🔁
↦ G. Konstantelias
76′
M. Ozdoev 🔁
↦ S. Schwab
80′
89′
🟨 Panagiotis Retsos
Kiril Despodov 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
22 S. Schwab M
8 S. Meïté M
14 A. Živković M
7 G. Konstantelias M
11 Taison M
71 Brandon Thomas F
Bench (9)
33 M. Samatta
77 K. Despodov
10 T. Murg
27 M. Ozdoev
18 Ž. Živković
88 Marcos Antônio
20 Vieirinha
5 G. Michailidis
19 Jonny

Coach: R. Lucescu

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
18 Quini D
32 S. Hezze M
5 André Horta M
10 Gelson Martins M
6 Chiquinho M
19 G. Masouras M
29 Fran Navarro F
Bench (9)
9 A. El Kaabi
56 Daniel Podence
7 K. Fortounis
65 A. Apostolopoulos
20 João Carvalho
14 Rúben Vezo
1 A. Paschalakis
36 N. Abbey
15 S. Alexandropoulos

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
U
3,42
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,75
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.