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Serie A

Referee: M Di Bello

Cagliari

T S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Como

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

0,0

3,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

0,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,81 xG 1,53

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 13. · Como 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
2	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
3	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
4	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
5	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
6	Empoli	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
7	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
8	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
9	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
10	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.2	3
11	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
12	Fiorentina	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.8	2
13	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
14	Milan	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.4	1
15	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.4	1
17	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.0	1
18	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.4	1
19	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
20	Lecce	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Parma	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.0	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.8	3
4	Verona	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.9	3
5	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
6	Inter	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
8	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
9	Milan	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
11	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
13	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
14	Empoli	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
15	Roma	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
16	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
17	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.9	3
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
5	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
6	Fiorentina	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
7	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
8	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
9	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
10	Venezia	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.0	1
11	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
13	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.1	0
14	Como	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.0	0
15	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.8	0
16	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.