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Conference League
Referee: L M Branco Godinho
Celje
T T U S S
0–4
Full-time
AEK
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 63%
67%
58%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,28 xG 2,81
59% Possession 41%
8 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Oct -25 Celje – AEK 3–1

Match report

Celje AEK
3′
⚽ B. Varga 0–1
R. Marin
Darko Hrka 🟨
30′
33′
⚽ A. Koita 0–2
L. Jovic
36′
⚽ M. Gacinovic 0–3
45′
🟨 Orbelín Pineda
Half-time 0–3
P. Daniel 🔁
↦ D. Hrka
46′
D. Castro 🔁
↦ A. Tutyskinas
46′
49′
⚽ H. Moukoudi 0–4
57′
🟨 Aboubakary Koita
M. Avdyli 🔁
↦ R. Pozeg
58′
73′
🔁 R. Pereyra
↦ O. Pineda
73′
🔁 D. Kutesa
↦ A. Koita
A. Kotnik 🔁
↦ M. Kvesic
75′
78′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ M. Gacinovic
78′
🔁 Zini
↦ L. Jovic
David Castro 🟨
81′
I. Vidovic 🔁
↦ S. Seslar
85′
86′
🔁 D. Kaloskamis
↦ B. Varga
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Celje

4-3-3
1 Z. Leban G
2 Juanjo Nieto D
44 L. Bejger D
6 A. Tutyskinas D
23 Z. Karnicnik D
10 S. Seslar M
4 D. Hrka M
8 M. Kvesic M
20 N. Iosifov F
47 A. Kucys
94 R. Pozeg F
Bench (11)
21 S. Sluga
12 L. Kolar
11 M. Avdyli
27 I. Calusic
13 P. Daniel
3 D. Vuklisevic
17 A. Kotnik
15 D. Castro
16 I. Vidovic
5 G. Vodeb
7 F. Jevsenak

Coach: Ivan Maevskiy

AEK

4-4-2
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
8 M. Gacinovic M
18 R. Marin M
13 O. Pineda M
11 A. Koita M
25 B. Varga F
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (11)
91 A. Brignoli
81 A. Angelopoulos
20 P. Mantalos
37 R. Pereyra
19 N. Eliasson
7 D. Kutesa
29 J. Penrice
21 D. Vida
90 Zini
15 M. Georgiev
17 D. Kaloskamis

Coach: Marko Nikolic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L M Branco Godinho · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.