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Super League

Referee: Konstantinos Katikos

Asteras Tripolis

S U S T T

0–2

Full-time

Iraklis

T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Iraklis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,5

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

14 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 14. · Iraklis 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	4	3	1	0	+14	+4.1	10
2	Panetolikos	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
3	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+2	+5.0	7
4	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
5	PAOK	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.2	6
6	OFI Crete	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.4	6
7	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	0	1	-3	-1.4	6
8	Aris	3	2	0	1	-3	–	6
9	Volos NFC	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.0	2
10	Atromitos	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.4	1
11	Kifisia	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.1	1
12	Kalamata	4	0	1	3	-4	-2.5	1
13	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
14	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
15	Levadeiakos	3	0	0	3	-8	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AEK	3	3	0	0	+14	+4.8	9
2	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.8	6
3	OFI Crete	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.1	6
4	PAOK	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.6	3
5	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.7	3
6	Aris Thessalonikis	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Aris	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Olympiakos	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.9	3
9	Volos NFC	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
10	Kifisia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Atromitos	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
12	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Kalamata	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0
14	Levadeiakos	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
2	Panetolikos	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	PAOK	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	0	1	-4	-1.8	3
6	Aris	2	1	0	1	-4	–	3
7	AEK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.7	1
8	Kalamata	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
9	Iraklis	2	0	1	1	-4	-2.4	1
10	Atromitos	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.9	0
11	OFI Crete	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.4	0
12	Asteras Tripolis	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
13	Volos NFC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
14	Kifisia	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
15	Levadeiakos	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.