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Serie A

Referee: Paride Tremolada

Udinese

T S U S S

1–2

Full-time

Lazio

T S T S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,85 xG 1,83

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 19

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 10. · Lazio 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.3	9
2	Inter	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
3	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
4	Milan	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.3	7
5	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.1	7
6	Frosinone	3	2	0	1	+3	-2.8	6
7	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.0	6
8	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.7	6
9	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.9	6
10	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
11	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.4	4
12	Napoli	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.4	3
13	Torino	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.5	3
14	Lecce	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.1	3
15	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-2	+2.0	1
16	Parma	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.5	1
17	Monza	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.9	1
18	Venezia	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.1	0
19	Genoa	3	0	0	3	-6	-1.3	0
20	Fiorentina	3	0	0	3	-8	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.2	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.7	6
4	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
9	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
10	Udinese	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
11	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
12	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
13	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
14	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
16	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.0	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
3	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	-1.0	3
5	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
6	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
7	Lecce	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
10	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
11	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
12	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
14	Monza	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.2	1
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
17	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
18	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
20	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Apr -26 Lazio – Udinese 3–3 27. Dec -25 Udinese – Lazio 1–1 10. Mar -25 Lazio – Udinese 1–1 24. Aug -24 Udinese – Lazio 2–1 11. Mar -24 Lazio – Udinese 1–2

Match report

Udinese Lazio

Jakub Piotrowski 🟨

13′

Lennon Miller 🔁

↦ Jakub Piotrowski

15′

Lennon Miller 🟨

23′

25′

🟨 Gustav Isaksen

Christian Kabasele 🔁

↦ Oumar Solet

38′

Vakoun Bayo 🔁

↦ Unai Gómez

45′

Half-time 0–0

Jesper Karlstrom 🟨

48′

1–0 Jesper Karlstrom ⚽

Keinan Davis

49′

53′

🔁 Tijjani Noslin

↦ Andrea Pinamonti

53′

🔁 Matteo Cancellieri

↦ Gustav Isaksen

Vakoun Bayo 🟨

67′

75′

⚽ Davide Frattesi 1–1

Mattia Zaccagni

Oier Zarraga 🔁

↦ Keinan Davis

76′

Nicolo Bertola 🔁

↦ James Abankwah

76′

80′

🔁 Albert Gudmundsson

↦ Davide Frattesi

Nicolo Bertola 🟨

84′

88′

⚽ Albert Gudmundsson 1–2

Danilho Doekhi

91′

🔁 Alfonso Pedraza

↦ Mattia Zaccagni

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Udinese

3-4-2-1

M. Okoye G

J. Abankwah D

O. Solet D

E. Ebosse D

M. Vojvoda D

J. Karlström M

J. Piotrowski M

H. Kamara D

J. Ekkelenkamp M

Unai Gómez M

K. Davis F

Bench (12)

38 L. Miller

41 B. Mrozek

93 D. Padelli

45 G. Vinciati

6 Oier Zarraga

4 S. Lovrić

15 V. Bayo

13 N. Bertola

30 G. Chakvetadze

7 I. Gueye

91 L. JovanoviÄ

27 C. Kabasele

Coach: K. Runjaic

Lazio

4-3-3

C. Mandas G

R. Floriani Mussolini D

D. Doekhi D

O. Provstgaard D

Nuno Tavares D

D. Frattesi M

R. Belahyane M

K. Taylor M

G. Isaksen F

A. Pinamonti F

M. Zaccagni M

Bench (12)

22 M. Cancellieri

33 Ricardo Bordon

71 V. Farcomeni

80 A. Guðmundsson

29 M. Lazzari

40 E. Motta

14 T. Noslin

23 Pedraza

28 A. Przyborek

47 D. Renzetti

63 F. Serra

37 J. Šutalo

Coach: G. Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,86

🔒

Dafabet 2,95 1xBet 2,87 Pinnacle 2,83 Superbet 2,82 Marathonbet 2,82 Bet365 2,75 Unibet 2,75 SBO 2,74 Betano 2,72 10Bet 2,70 Betfair 2,70 BetVictor 2,70 William Hill 2,70

3,12

🔒

1xBet 3,15 Dafabet 3,15 Bet365 3,10 Betano 3,10 Marathonbet 3,10 Pinnacle 3,09 10Bet 3,05 Unibet 3,05 Superbet 3,05 Betfair 3,00 BetVictor 3,00 SBO 2,92 William Hill 2,90

B ✓

2,54

🔒

1xBet 2,87 Pinnacle 2,86 Marathonbet 2,83 Superbet 2,77 Bet365 2,75 Betano 2,75 Betfair 2,75 BetVictor 2,75 10Bet 2,70 William Hill 2,70 SBO 2,68 Unibet 2,65 Dafabet 2,60

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,40

🔒