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La Liga

Referee: M Ortiz

Elche

S U U T T

2–3

Full-time

Sociedad

U T T S U

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 13%

25%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

3,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

20 Shots 13

10 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Elche 19. · Sociedad 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	+9.4	12
2	Alaves	4	3	1	0	+7	+2.7	10
3	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.1	9
4	Betis	4	3	0	1	+0	-1.4	9
5	La Coruna	4	2	2	0	+3	-1.7	8
6	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.6	7
7	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.0	7
8	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	-1	+2.9	7
9	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+1	-1.1	6
10	Levante	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.2	5
11	Espanol	4	1	1	2	+1	-1.4	4
12	Santander	4	1	1	2	-1	+2.0	4
13	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.6	4
14	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
15	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-3	-3.1	4
16	Celta	5	0	3	2	-3	-4.0	3
17	Villarreal	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.2	2
18	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-6	-1.9	2
19	Elche	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.5	1
20	Valencia	4	0	1	3	-8	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Alaves	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
4	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.1	6
5	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.4	4
6	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
7	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
8	Santander	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
9	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
10	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
11	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
12	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
13	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
14	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
15	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
16	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.3	1
18	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
19	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
20	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+10	+3.7	6
2	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.8	4
3	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
4	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
5	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
6	Celta	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
8	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	-2	+2.5	3
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
10	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
11	Levante	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.7	2
12	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
13	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Santander	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
17	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
18	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Feb -26 Sociedad – Elche 3–1 7. Nov -25 Elche – Sociedad 1–1 19. Mar -23 Sociedad – Elche 2–0 27. Aug -22 Elche – Sociedad 0–1 10. Apr -22 Elche – Sociedad 1–2

Match report

Elche Sociedad

9′

🟨 Jon Aramburu

11′

⚽ Job Ochieng 0–1

Carlos Soler

31′

⚽ Yangel Herrera 0–2

Job Ochieng

Tete Morente 🟨

43′

Half-time 0–2

Abiel Alessio Osorio 🔁

↦ Ezequiel Ponce

55′

Thomas Lemar 🔁

↦ Facundo Buonanotte

55′

Abiel Alessio Osorio 🟨

57′

58′

🔁 Alex Marchal García

↦ Gonçalo Guedes

58′

🔁 Jon Martin

↦ Mamadou Sarr

63′

ℹ️ Luka Sučić

VAR: Goal cancelled

64′

🟥 Jon Martin

1–2 Thomas Lemar ⚽

Víctor Chust

67′

Germán Valera 🟨

68′

70′

🔁 Jon Pacheco

↦ Yangel Herrera

70′

🔁 Jon Gorrotxategi

↦ Mikel Oyarzabal

Lucas Cepeda 🔁

↦ Gonzalo Villar

70′

2–2 Fernando Niño Rodríguez ⚽

Tete Morente

74′

81′

🔁 Hector Fort

↦ Alex Marchal García

José Antonio Ferrández Pomares 🔁

↦ Germán Valera

81′

Roy Revivo 🔁

↦ Buba Sangaré

81′

90′

⚽ Luka Sučić 2–3

Job Ochieng

Thomas Lemar 🟨

97′

Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Elche

3-5-2

M. Dituro G

Buba Sangaré D

Víctor Chust D

Bigas D

Tete Morente M

F. Buonanotte M

J. Morcillo M

Gonzalo Villar M

Germán Valera M

Fer Niño F

E. Ponce F

Bench (12)

26 Matia Barzic Gutiérrez

16 Martim Neto

21 L. Cepeda

17 Josan

29 Ali Houary

13 Alejandro Iturbe

18 T. Lemar

24 A. Osorio

5 F. Redondo

3 R. Revivo

22 Rubén Sánchez

8 Marc Aguado

Coach: M. Anselmi

Sociedad

4-4-2

Unai Marrero G

J. Aramburu D

Zubeldia D

M. Sarr D

Sergio Gómez D

J. Ochieng M

Y. Herrera M

Carlos Soler M

Gonçalo Guedes M

L. Sučić F

Mikel Oyarzabal F

Bench (12)

3 Aihen Muñoz

6 Jon Martín

29 Alex Garcia

14 T. Kubo

4 Jon Gorrotxategi

22 Héctor Fort

7 Barrenetxea

16 Jon Pacheco

1 Álex Remiro

8 Beñat Turrientes

23 A. Zakharyan

9 O. Óskarsson

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

2,86

🔒

1xBet 3,62 Pinnacle 3,59 Marathonbet 3,56 Unibet 3,55 Bet365 3,50 BetVictor 3,50 Betano 3,45 10Bet 3,40 Betfair 3,40 Superbet 3,40 William Hill 3,30 SBO 3,22 Dafabet 2,95

3,42

🔒

Pinnacle 3,61 1xBet 3,60 10Bet 3,55 Betano 3,55 Superbet 3,55 Marathonbet 3,55 Bet365 3,50 BetVictor 3,50 SBO 3,46 Unibet 3,45 Dafabet 3,45 Betfair 3,40 William Hill 3,30

B ✓

2,35

🔒

Dafabet 2,43 1xBet 2,16 Superbet 2,15 Marathonbet 2,13 Pinnacle 2,12 Betano 2,10 William Hill 2,10 SBO 2,08 Unibet 2,06 Bet365 2,05 Betfair 2,05 BetVictor 2,05 10Bet 2,02

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,23

🔒