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Superligaen
Referee: Jakob Kehlet
Midtjylland
S S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
S S S S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,88 xG 2,10
49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Nordsjaelland 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 7 6 0 1 +12 +0.7 18
2 Midtjylland 6 4 2 0 +5 +3.0 14
3 Nordsjaelland 6 4 1 1 +5 +8.5 13
4 Viborg 7 4 1 2 +4 +3.2 13
5 Brondby 7 4 1 2 +1 -1.4 13
6 Horsens 7 3 1 3 +1 -5.6 10
7 Randers FC 7 3 1 3 +0 -5.0 10
8 Lyngby 7 1 3 3 -2 +3.9 6
9 Silkeborg 7 1 3 3 -4 -3.4 6
10 Odense 7 1 2 4 -7 -1.0 5
11 Aarhus 7 0 4 3 -4 +2.2 4
12 Sonderjyske 7 0 1 6 -11 -5.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Nordsjaelland
Sofus Johannesen 🔁
↦ Denil Castillo
45′
Half-time 0–0
53′
ℹ️ Lamine Sadio
VAR:
Victor Bak Jensen 🟨
54′
59′
🔁 Hjalte Rasmussen
↦ Lamine Sadio
59′
🔁 Villum Berthelsen
↦ Ibrahim Adel
63′
Mark Brink 0–1
Alexander Lind
Stanley Iheanacho 🔁
↦ Cho Gue-sung
65′
Beni Junior 🔁
↦ Victor Bak Jensen
65′
Abdou Aziz Ndiaye 🔁
↦ Rasmus Kristensen
65′
1–1 Friday Etim
Stanley Iheanacho
72′
74′
Hjalte Rasmussen 1–2
Mileta Rajovic 🔁
↦ Kjell-Arik Wätjen
76′
2–2 Martin Erlic
Mileta Rajovic
86′
86′
🔁 Malte Heyde
↦ Mark Brink
86′
🔁 Markus Walker
↦ Juho Lähteenmäki
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-5-2
1 E. Ólafsson G
5 R. Kristensen D
6 M. Erlić D
3 M. Jensen D
29 K. Wätjen M
8 P. Billing M
19 P. Bravo M
21 D. Castillo M
55 V. Bak Jensen M
90 F. Etim F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
Bench (9)
27 S. Johannesen
20 Hong Hyun-Seok
25 N. Bakker
18 S. Iheanacho
15 B. Dje Bi Dje
98 D. Martínez
34 N. A. Aziz
9 M. Rajović
17 M. Uhre

Coach: M. Tullberg

Nordsjaelland

3-4-3
13 A. Hansen G
2 P. Ankersen D
25 V. Nelsson D
15 S. Acquah D
23 R. Norheim M
18 Justin Janssen M
6 M. Brink M
5 J. Lähteenmäki M
37 Lamine Sadio F
11 A. Lind F
14 Ibrahim Adel F
Bench (9)
29 V. Berthelsen
40 H. Boe Rasmussen
22 C. Eriksson
4 Noah Markmann
9 O. Solbakken
47 M. Heyde
42 M. Tuka
10 P. Amoako
28 M. Walker

Coach: J. Olsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,75
B
3,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,17
U1,5
5,00
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,37
O3,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5
1,56
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,50
BLS nei
2,45

Referee

Jakob Kehlet · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.