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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
ST Johnstone
S U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Hibernian
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
10 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 8. · Hibernian 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Hibernian 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Ross County 5 2 2 1 +1 8
4 Celtic 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Dundee United 5 2 1 2 +0 7
6 St Mirren 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Aberdeen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 ST Johnstone 4 1 1 2 -3 4
9 Hamilton 4 1 0 3 -5 3
10 Motherwell 5 0 2 3 -3 2
11 Kilmarnock 5 0 2 3 -4 2
12 Livingston 5 0 2 3 -5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Dan McNamara 🟨
12′
21′
🟨 Paul Hanlon
Half-time 0–0
Callum Hendry 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 D. Wright
↦ D. Horgan
63′
🟨 Scott Allan
D. Wotherspoon 🔁
↦ C. Conway
64′
S. May 🔁
↦ C. Hendry
64′
66′
🔁 S. Mallan
↦ S. Allan
74′
🔁 J. Gullan
↦ J. Doig
74′
🔁 M. Hallberg
↦ J. Newell
J. Robertson 🔁
↦ M. OHalloran
87′
Liam Craig 🟨
90′
Liam Craig 🟨
90′
Liam Craig 🟥
90′
91′
⚽ S. Mallan 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-3-1-2
12 E. Parish G
3 S. Tanser D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
5 J. Kerr D
15 D. McNamara M
26 L. Craig M
7 C. Conway M
18 A. McCann M
11 M. O'Halloran F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
10 D. Wotherspoon
14 S. May
20 J. Robertson
2 W. Duffy
45 R. Sinclair
23 Cameron Ballantyne II
16 I. Olaofe
24 C. Booth
19 S. Rooney

Coach: C. Davidson

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
5 R. Porteous D
25 J. Doig D
10 M. Boyle M
7 D. Horgan M
23 S. Allan F
11 J. Newell M
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
8 D. Wright
14 S. Mallan
19 J. Gullan
20 M. Hallberg
21 M. Dąbrowski
24 D. McGregor
16 L. Stevenson
2 D. Gray
12 F. Murray

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U
3,32
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.