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Pro League

Referee: W Smet

Anderlecht

S S U S U

1–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

3,2

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,5

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

77% Possession 23%

9 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Royal Excel Mouscron 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Beerschot VA	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Waregem	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Cercle Brugge	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Genk	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Kortrijk	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Club Brugge	3	1	0	2	+2	3
12	St Truiden	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Waasland-Beveren	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Beveren	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Mouscron	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Eupen	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Oostende	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Gent	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	3	2	0	1	+5	6
2	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Beerschot VA	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Kortrijk	3	0	1	2	-4	1
13	Waasland-Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Club Brugge	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Eupen	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Standard	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Beerschot VA	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Genk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Kortrijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Waasland-Beveren	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Beveren	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Mouscron	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Eupen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Anderlecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Antwerp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Gent	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	St Truiden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Waregem	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.