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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Aberdeen
T U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Hibernian 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Ross County 5 2 2 1 +1 8
4 Celtic 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Dundee United 5 2 1 2 +0 7
6 St Mirren 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 ST Johnstone 4 1 1 2 -3 4
8 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Hamilton 4 1 0 3 -5 3
10 Motherwell 5 0 2 3 -3 2
11 Kilmarnock 5 0 2 3 -4 2
12 Livingston 4 0 2 2 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Livingston
42′
🟨 Craig Sibbald
43′
🟨 Nicky Devlin
Half-time 0–0
F. Ojo 🔁
↦ S. McKenna
46′
1–0 L. Ferguson
49′
2–0 S. Wright
R. Hedges
55′
D. McGeouch 🔁
↦ S. Wright
61′
69′
S. Pittman 2–1
J. Fitzwater
70′
🔁 J. Serrano
↦ J. McMillan
70′
🔁 E. Ambrose
↦ J. Fitzwater
70′
🔁 J. Hamilton
↦ C. Sibbald
76′
🔁 S. Tiffoney
↦ A. Forrest
C. McLennan 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
81′
C. Main 🔁
↦ R. Hedges
81′
T. Hoban 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-5-2
1 J. Lewis G
2 S. Logan M
14 A. Taylor D
5 S. McKenna D
17 J. Hayes M
33 M. Kennedy M
11 R. Hedges M
25 S. Wright F
40 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
50 M. Watkins F
Bench (8)
8 F. Ojo
15 D. McGeouch
18 C. McLennan
9 C. Main
3 T. Hoban
20 T. Černý
21 B. Anderson
22 R. Hernández

Coach: D. McInnes

Livingston

4-4-1-1
1 R. McCrorie G
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
21 J. McMillan D
5 J. Fitzwater D
17 S. Robinson F
6 M. Bartley M
18 J. Holt F
10 C. Sibbald M
11 A. Forrest M
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (8)
12 J. Serrano
25 E. Ambrose
38 J. Hamilton
22 S. Tiffoney
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair
16 R. Crawford
19 S. Kouider-Aïssa
32 M. Stryjek

Coach: G. Holt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,44
B
3,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,34
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.