← Match Finder
Ligue 1
Referee: J Hamel
Lorient
T T S T T
3–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lorient Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lorient Strasbourg
L. Abergel 🔁
↦ S. Diarra
12′
30′
⚽ M. Chahiri 0–1
L. Ajorque
37′
🟨 Mohamed Simakan
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. Wissa ⚽
Q. Boisgard
51′
2–1 A. Grbić ⚽
60′
64′
🔁 A. Djiku
↦ K. Lala
64′
🔁 A. Waris
↦ S. Prcić
Quentin Boisgard 🟨
69′
F. Wadja 🔁
↦ F. Lemoine
71′
Franklin Wadja 🟨
72′
76′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ I. Sissoko
76′
🔁 J. Bellegarde
↦ M. Chahiri
Julien Laporte 🟨
79′
82′
🟨 Lionel Carole
83′
🔁 I. Saadi
↦ A. Thomasson
P. Hamel 🔁
↦ A. Grbić
84′
S. Marveaux 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
84′
3–1 P. Hamel ⚽
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lorient

4-2-3-1
30 P. Nardi G
21 J. Morel D
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
17 H. Mendes D
18 F. Lemoine M
11 Q. Boisgard M
7 S. Diarra M
10 E. Le Fée M
27 A. Grbić F
19 Y. Wissa M
Bench (9)
6 L. Abergel
24 F. Wadja
29 P. Hamel
12 S. Marveaux
22 J. Delaplace
20 M. Saunier
9 U. Bozok
1 M. Dreyer
5 T. Fontaine

Coach: C. Pélissier

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1
16 E. Kawashima G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole D
10 K. Lala M
2 M. Simakan D
14 S. Prcić M
26 A. Thomasson M
21 M. Chahiri M
27 I. Sissoko M
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (8)
24 A. Djiku
8 A. Waris
20 K. Zohi
17 J. Bellegarde
9 I. Saadi
19 A. Caci
29 I. Aaneba
30 B. Kamara

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,56
🔒
U
3,13
🔒
B
2,91
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,32
🔒
U2,5
1,61
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Hamel · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.