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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Dundee United
T T T S U
1–2
Full-time
Livingston
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
1 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 11
0 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 11
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 7. · Livingston 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 9 7 2 0 +19 23
2 Celtic 8 7 1 0 +18 22
3 Hibernian 9 5 2 2 +5 17
4 Aberdeen 7 5 0 2 +3 15
5 Kilmarnock 9 3 2 4 +1 11
6 Ross County 9 3 2 4 -7 11
7 Dundee United 9 3 2 4 -7 11
8 Livingston 9 2 2 5 -4 8
9 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 -6 8
10 Hamilton 8 2 1 5 -7 7
11 ST Johnstone 9 2 1 6 -7 7
12 St Mirren 9 2 1 6 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Livingston
1–0 N. Clark ⚽
18′
Half-time 1–1
53′
⚽ J. Guthrie 1–1
M. Bartley
P. Pawlett 🔁
↦ L. Chalmers
75′
L. Appéré 🔁
↦ A. Spörle
75′
76′
🔁 M. Poplatnik
↦ S. Tiffoney
90′
⚽ A. Forrest 1–2
M. Poplatnik
92′
🔁 J. McMillan
↦ A. Forrest
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-4-2
19 D. Mehmet G
5 M. Connolly D
12 R. Edwards D
3 A. Spörle M
17 J. Robson D
18 C. Butcher M
20 L. Bolton D
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark F
24 L. Shankland F
15 L. Chalmers M
Bench (8)
8 P. Pawlett
27 L. Appéré
4 D. Powers
31 J. Newman
26 C. Mochrie
30 L. Neilson
6 M. Reynolds
7 P. McMullan

Coach: M. Mellon

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 R. McCrorie G
25 E. Ambrose D
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
12 J. Serrano D
17 S. Robinson M
6 M. Bartley M
18 J. Holt M
11 A. Forrest M
8 S. Pittman M
22 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (9)
15 M. Poplatnik
21 J. McMillan
3 C. Brown
13 L. Lokotsch
32 M. Stryjek
5 J. Fitzwater
33 S. Lawson
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair
10 C. Sibbald

Coach: G. Holt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U
3,21
B ✓
2,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.