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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Aberdeen
U U S S U
2–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 18/19 matches
Win Ø 39%
56%
21%
Points per game
1,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
39%
37%
Both score Ø 38%
33%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
20 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · ST Johnstone 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 20 18 2 0 +49 56
2 Celtic 16 11 4 1 +25 37
3 Hibernian 20 10 6 4 +12 36
4 Aberdeen 18 10 5 3 +8 35
5 Dundee United 19 6 6 7 -7 24
6 Livingston 18 6 3 9 -5 21
7 St Mirren 16 5 3 8 -7 18
8 Kilmarnock 18 5 2 11 -5 17
9 ST Johnstone 19 4 5 10 -11 17
10 Motherwell 17 4 4 9 -9 16
11 Hamilton 18 4 2 12 -24 14
12 Ross County 19 3 4 12 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
5′
🔁 C. Booth
↦ S. Tanser
38′
L. Gordon 0–1
L. Craig
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Cosgrove
47′
2–1 A. Taylor
54′
57′
🟨 Alistair McCann
62′
🟨 Liam Craig
67′
🔁 C. Hendry
↦ C. Kane
R. Edmondson 🔁
↦ C. Main
72′
81′
🟨 Callum Hendry
Sam Cosgrove 🟨
83′
86′
🔁 G. Melamed
↦ L. Craig
F. Ojo 🔁
↦ S. Cosgrove
89′
90′
🟨 Callum Hendry
90′
🟥 Callum Hendry
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
14 A. Taylor D
3 T. Hoban D
17 J. Hayes M
33 M. Kennedy M
11 R. Hedges F
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell M
9 C. Main F
16 S. Cosgrove F
Bench (9)
32 R. Edmondson
8 F. Ojo
2 S. Logan
10 N. McGinn
46 R. Duncan
44 C. Ramsay
43 G. Woods
37 K. Ngwenya
34 K. Hanratty

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
1 Z. Clark G
3 S. Tanser M
19 S. Rooney D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
15 D. McNamara M
26 L. Craig M
10 D. Wotherspoon M
18 A. McCann M
14 S. May F
9 C. Kane F
Bench (9)
24 C. Booth
22 C. Hendry
17 G. Melamed
8 M. Davidson
46 A. Ferguson
7 C. Conway
40 S. Denham
13 C. Bryson
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,40
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,35
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.