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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Ross County
T T T T T
0–2
Full-time
St Mirren
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
2,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 19/16 matches
Win Ø 24%
16%
31%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
42%
38%
Both score Ø 35%
32%
38%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 9
0 Blocked shots 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 14
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 12. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 20 18 2 0 +49 56
2 Celtic 16 11 4 1 +25 37
3 Hibernian 20 10 6 4 +12 36
4 Aberdeen 18 10 5 3 +8 35
5 Dundee United 19 6 6 7 -7 24
6 Livingston 18 6 3 9 -5 21
7 St Mirren 16 5 3 8 -7 18
8 Kilmarnock 18 5 2 11 -5 17
9 ST Johnstone 19 4 5 10 -11 17
10 Motherwell 17 4 4 9 -9 16
11 Hamilton 18 4 2 12 -24 14
12 Ross County 19 3 4 12 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County St Mirren
Josh Reid 🟨
16′
Josh Reid 🟨
36′
Josh Reid 🟥
36′
C. Tremarco 🔁
↦ I. Vigurs
39′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 Í. Durmuş
↦ K. McAllister
57′
🔁 J. Obika
↦ L. Erwin
Ross Draper 🟨
60′
Ross Draper 🟨
60′
Ross Draper 🟥
60′
61′
🟨 Jak Alnwick
J. Tillson 🔁
↦ J. Hylton
65′
65′
🔁 K. Dennis
↦ E. Erhahon
65′
🔁 C. MacPherson
↦ J. McGrath
76′
M. Fraser 0–1
B. McKay 🔁
↦ K. Watson
82′
C. Donaldson 🔁
↦ C. Tremarco
82′
85′
K. Dennis 0–2
Í. Durmuş
86′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ M. Fraser
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ross County

4-1-4-1
1 R. Laidlaw G
15 K. Watson D
5 C. Morris D
16 A. Iacovitti D
43 J. Reid D
11 I. Vigurs M
6 R. Draper M
14 J. Hylton M
24 H. Paton M
18 S. Kelly M
8 O. Shaw F
Bench (7)
3 C. Tremarco
22 J. Tillson
9 B. McKay
25 C. Donaldson
46 B. Williamson
21 R. Doohan
44 M. Wright

Coach: J. Hughes

St Mirren

4-5-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
17 J. McGrath M
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
10 K. McAllister M
25 E. Erhahon M
23 L. Erwin F
19 J. Morias M
Bench (9)
11 Í. Durmuş
9 J. Obika
20 K. Dennis
14 C. MacPherson
8 R. Flynn
26 D. Lyness
16 S. Foley
21 D. Connolly
33 L. Jamieson

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
U
3,34
B ✓
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.