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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Motherwell

T T T U U

0–2

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

This season — Premiership · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

22%

26%

Points per game

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

44%

42%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

42%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

7 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

6 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 10. · Kilmarnock 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	21	19	2	0	+51	59
2	Celtic	18	13	4	1	+31	43
3	Aberdeen	19	11	5	3	+9	38
4	Hibernian	21	10	6	5	+10	36
5	Dundee United	21	6	7	8	-10	25
6	Livingston	19	7	3	9	-4	24
7	St Mirren	18	6	3	9	-7	21
8	ST Johnstone	21	4	6	11	-12	18
9	Kilmarnock	19	5	2	12	-6	17
10	Motherwell	18	4	5	9	-9	17
11	Ross County	21	4	4	13	-26	16
12	Hamilton	20	4	3	13	-27	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	10	10	0	0	+31	30
2	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+16	22
3	Aberdeen	10	7	1	2	+6	22
4	Dundee United	11	4	3	4	+1	15
5	Hibernian	10	3	5	2	+0	14
6	Kilmarnock	9	3	1	5	+1	10
7	Livingston	9	3	1	5	-4	10
8	St Mirren	9	2	3	4	-5	9
9	ST Johnstone	11	2	3	6	-7	9
10	Motherwell	10	2	2	6	-8	8
11	Ross County	10	1	3	6	-16	6
12	Hamilton	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	11	9	2	0	+20	29
2	Hibernian	11	7	1	3	+10	22
3	Celtic	9	6	3	0	+15	21
4	Aberdeen	9	4	4	1	+3	16
5	Livingston	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	St Mirren	9	4	0	5	-2	12
7	Ross County	11	3	1	7	-10	10
8	Dundee United	10	2	4	4	-11	10
9	Hamilton	10	3	1	6	-13	10
10	Motherwell	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	ST Johnstone	10	2	3	5	-5	9
12	Kilmarnock	10	2	1	7	-7	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.