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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Madrid

S S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Getafe

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Getafe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 13/14 matches

Win Ø 53%

77%

29%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

31%

36%

Both score Ø 26%

23%

29%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

2,0

0,9

Conceded

0,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 1. · Getafe 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Real Madrid	15	10	2	3	+13	32
3	Sociedad	16	7	5	4	+13	26
4	Sevilla	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Villarreal	16	6	8	2	+4	26
6	Barcelona	15	7	4	4	+14	25
7	Granada	15	7	3	5	-4	24
8	Celta	15	5	5	5	-1	20
9	Cadiz	16	5	4	7	-9	19
10	Betis	16	6	1	9	-11	19
11	Ath Bilbao	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Levante	15	4	6	5	-1	18
13	Getafe	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Alaves	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Eibar	16	3	7	6	-4	16
16	Valencia	16	3	6	7	-2	15
17	Elche	13	3	6	4	-4	15
18	Valladolid	16	3	6	7	-9	15
19	Huesca	15	1	9	5	-10	12
20	Osasuna	14	3	3	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
3	Granada	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Villarreal	8	4	4	0	+6	16
5	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+8	15
6	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+4	13
7	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
8	Sociedad	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Levante	7	3	3	1	+3	12
10	Celta	7	4	0	3	+1	12
11	Getafe	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Betis	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Valencia	8	2	3	3	+1	9
15	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Huesca	7	1	4	2	-2	7
17	Elche	7	1	4	2	-3	7
18	Osasuna	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Cadiz	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Eibar	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+5	17
2	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+8	14
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Cadiz	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	-2	10
8	Betis	9	3	0	6	-10	9
9	Elche	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Celta	8	1	5	2	-2	8
11	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+3	7
12	Alaves	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Granada	7	2	1	4	-9	7
14	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-3	6
15	Levante	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Getafe	6	1	3	2	-4	6
17	Valladolid	8	1	3	4	-5	6
18	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
19	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Huesca	8	0	5	3	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.