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Premiership

Referee: W Collum

Hamilton

T T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

5,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

3,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,3

This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

14%

36%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

3,6

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

2,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hamilton 12. · Kilmarnock 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	13	2	0	+38	41
2	Celtic	13	9	3	1	+21	30
3	Aberdeen	14	8	3	3	+4	27
4	Hibernian	15	7	5	3	+5	26
5	Dundee United	15	5	5	5	-6	20
6	Kilmarnock	14	5	2	7	+2	17
7	ST Johnstone	15	4	4	7	-6	16
8	Motherwell	13	4	3	6	-3	15
9	Ross County	15	3	4	8	-16	13
10	Livingston	15	3	3	9	-10	12
11	St Mirren	12	3	2	7	-8	11
12	Hamilton	14	2	2	10	-21	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	8	0	0	+28	24
2	Aberdeen	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Celtic	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Dundee United	8	3	2	3	+0	11
5	Kilmarnock	7	3	1	3	+4	10
6	Hibernian	7	2	4	1	+1	10
7	ST Johnstone	8	2	2	4	-3	8
8	Motherwell	7	2	1	4	-4	7
9	Livingston	8	2	1	5	-6	7
10	Ross County	7	1	3	3	-8	6
11	St Mirren	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Hamilton	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Rangers	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Hibernian	8	5	1	2	+4	16
4	Aberdeen	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Dundee United	7	2	3	2	-6	9
6	Motherwell	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Kilmarnock	7	2	1	4	-2	7
9	Ross County	8	2	1	5	-8	7
10	St Mirren	6	2	0	4	-4	6
11	Hamilton	8	2	0	6	-15	6
12	Livingston	7	1	2	4	-4	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.