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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Dundee United
U S T T U
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 29%
28%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
44%
41%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
41%
Average goals
2,1
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 6. · Kilmarnock 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 19 17 2 0 +48 53
2 Celtic 16 11 4 1 +25 37
3 Hibernian 19 10 6 3 +13 36
4 Aberdeen 18 10 5 3 +8 35
5 Livingston 18 6 3 9 -5 21
6 Dundee United 18 5 6 7 -9 21
7 St Mirren 16 5 3 8 -7 18
8 Kilmarnock 17 5 2 10 -3 17
9 ST Johnstone 19 4 5 10 -11 17
10 Motherwell 17 4 4 9 -9 16
11 Hamilton 18 4 2 12 -24 14
12 Ross County 19 3 4 12 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Kilmarnock
1–0 M. McNulty
L. Shankland
25′
2–0 L. Shankland
L. Bolton
28′
Half-time 2–0
60′
🔁 M. Pinnock
↦ G. Kiltie
P. Pawlett 🔁
↦ C. Butcher
61′
61′
🔁 N. Kabamba
↦ C. Dikamona
70′
🟨 Alan Power
73′
🔁 D. Whitehall
↦ E. Brophy
74′
🔁 Y. Mulumbu
↦ A. Power
N. Clark 🔁
↦ M. McNulty
76′
Peter Pawlett 🟨
79′
A. Spörle 🔁
↦ L. Bolton
81′
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-4-2
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
5 M. Connolly D
2 L. Smith D
17 J. Robson D
18 C. Butcher M
7 P. McMullan M
66 J. Fuchs M
20 L. Bolton M
9 M. McNulty F
24 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
8 P. Pawlett
10 N. Clark
3 A. Spörle
12 R. Edwards
19 D. Mehmet
27 L. Appéré
30 L. Neilson
23 I. Harkes
4 D. Powers

Coach: M. Mellon

Kilmarnock

3-4-3
23 D. Rogers G
5 K. Broadfoot D
4 C. Dikamona D
17 S. Findlay D
18 C. Waters M
29 C. Burke F
6 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie M
27 A. Tshibola M
9 E. Brophy F
10 G. Kiltie F
Bench (6)
19 M. Pinnock
11 N. Kabamba
12 D. Whitehall
21 Y. Mulumbu
33 A. Taylor
16 C. Doyle

Coach: A. Dyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
U
3,24
B
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.