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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
St Mirren
S T U U U
0–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
31%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
34%
48%
Both score Ø 43%
45%
41%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Motherwell 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 30 26 4 0 +64 82
2 Celtic 30 19 7 4 +41 64
3 Hibernian 29 15 7 7 +15 52
4 Aberdeen 30 13 9 8 +3 48
5 Livingston 29 11 7 11 +1 40
6 St Mirren 29 9 8 12 -6 35
7 Dundee United 30 8 10 12 -15 34
8 ST Johnstone 30 8 9 13 -8 33
9 Motherwell 29 7 7 15 -20 28
10 Ross County 29 7 5 17 -31 26
11 Kilmarnock 30 7 3 20 -16 24
12 Hamilton 29 6 6 17 -28 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Motherwell
Ilkay Durmus 🟨
21′
42′
🟨 Barry Maguire
Half-time 0–0
Joe Shaughnessy 🟨
61′
L. Erwin 🔁
↦ C. MacPherson
69′
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ R. Tait
73′
D. Connolly 🔁
↦ J. Obika
82′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath F
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
14 C. MacPherson F
25 E. Erhahon M
9 J. Obika F
Bench (9)
23 L. Erwin
10 K. McAllister
21 D. Connolly
30 J. Henderson
15 D. Finlayson
8 R. Flynn
26 D. Lyness
33 L. Jamieson
27 P. Urminský

Coach: J. Goodwin

Motherwell

4-3-3
13 L. Kelly G
3 J. Carroll D
33 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
40 T. Magloire D
8 R. Crawford M
39 J. Roberts F
6 A. Campbell M
15 B. Maguire M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
Bench (9)
24 D. Devine
11 J. Hastie
27 M. Johnston
23 P. Morrison
19 L. Polworth
26 D. Cornelius
14 S. Lawless
9 C. Long
5 N. McGinley

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U ✓
3,25
B
3,55
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.