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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Motherwell
T U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Dundee United
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
This season — Premiership · 24/26 matches
Win Ø 22%
21%
23%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 42%
38%
46%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%
13 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 10. · Dundee United 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 26 23 3 0 +59 72
2 Celtic 25 15 7 3 +35 52
3 Hibernian 27 13 7 7 +11 46
4 Aberdeen 26 12 8 6 +5 44
5 Livingston 26 11 6 9 +5 39
6 St Mirren 24 8 5 11 -4 29
7 Dundee United 26 6 10 10 -16 28
8 ST Johnstone 26 6 9 11 -10 27
9 Kilmarnock 26 7 3 16 -11 24
10 Motherwell 24 5 7 12 -15 22
11 Ross County 26 5 5 16 -31 20
12 Hamilton 24 5 4 15 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Dec -20 Dundee United – Motherwell 1–1 8. Aug -20 Motherwell – Dundee United 0–1

Match report

Motherwell Dundee United
1–0 D. Cole ⚽
23′
2–0 C. Long ⚽
D. Cole
28′
36′
🟨 Ian Harkes
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 P. Pawlett
↦ N. Clark
H. Smith 🔁
↦ C. Long
73′
80′
⚽ R. Edwards 2–1
A. Spörle
N. McGinley 🔁
↦ T. Watt
81′
S. Foley 🔁
↦ N. McGinley
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
13 L. Kelly G
3 J. Carroll D
33 S. O'Donnell D
4 R. Lamie D
16 B. Mugabi D
8 R. Crawford M
6 A. Campbell M
15 B. Maguire M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
9 C. Long F
Bench (9)
29 H. Smith
5 N. McGinley
37 S. Foley
23 P. Morrison
11 J. Hastie
27 M. Johnston
19 L. Polworth
39 J. Roberts
40 T. Magloire

Coach: G. Alexander

Dundee United

3-5-2
1 B. Siegrist G
12 R. Edwards D
2 L. Smith M
3 A. Spörle M
17 J. Robson D
18 C. Butcher D
66 J. Fuchs M
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark M
9 M. McNulty F
24 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
8 P. Pawlett
27 L. Appéré
26 C. Mochrie
30 L. Neilson
19 D. Mehmet
20 L. Bolton
6 M. Reynolds
4 D. Powers
14 F. Hoti

Coach: M. Mellon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B
3,77
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,16
🔒
U2,5
1,68
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.