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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
St Mirren
S T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Motherwell
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 19/20 matches
Win Ø 26%
32%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
32%
45%
Both score Ø 34%
37%
30%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 7. · Motherwell 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 22 20 2 0 +52 62
2 Celtic 19 13 4 2 +30 43
3 Aberdeen 20 11 6 3 +9 39
4 Hibernian 22 10 6 6 +7 36
5 Livingston 20 8 3 9 -1 27
6 Dundee United 22 6 8 8 -10 26
7 St Mirren 19 6 4 9 -7 22
8 Kilmarnock 21 6 3 12 -4 21
9 ST Johnstone 22 4 7 11 -12 19
10 Hamilton 21 5 3 13 -24 18
11 Motherwell 20 4 5 11 -14 17
12 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -20 Motherwell – St Mirren 0–1 25. Feb -20 Motherwell – St Mirren 1–2 4. Dec -19 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–3 5. Oct -19 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–0

Match report

St Mirren Motherwell
14′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
27′
⚽ D. Cole 0–1
T. Watt
Half-time 0–1
Jake Doyle Hayes 🟨
47′
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ K. McAllister
57′
72′
🔁 J. White
↦ J. Hastie
Í. Durmuş 🔁
↦ E. Erhahon
76′
1–1 J. McGrath ⚽
79′
84′
🔁 B. Maguire
↦ D. Cole
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-5-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
21 D. Connolly M
17 J. McGrath M
7 J. Doyle-Hayes M
10 K. McAllister M
25 E. Erhahon M
23 L. Erwin F
Bench (9)
29 E. Brophy
11 Í. Durmuş
33 L. Jamieson
26 D. Lyness
8 R. Flynn
14 C. MacPherson
6 N. Sheron
15 D. Finlayson
16 S. Foley

Coach: J. Goodwin

Motherwell

4-3-3
13 L. Kelly G
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
33 S. O'Donnell D
16 B. Mugabi D
19 L. Polworth M
7 M. O'Hara M
6 A. Campbell M
32 T. Watt F
44 D. Cole F
11 J. Hastie F
Bench (9)
9 J. White
15 B. Maguire
8 R. Crawford
24 D. Devine
26 D. Cornelius
2 L. Grimshaw
17 S. Seedorf
23 P. Morrison
5 N. McGinley

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
🔒
U ✓
3,28
🔒
B
3,19
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,24
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,63
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.