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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
St Mirren
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Livingston
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
32%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
46%
Average goals
2,1
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 6. · Livingston 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 29 25 4 0 +61 79
2 Celtic 29 19 7 3 +42 64
3 Hibernian 28 14 7 7 +13 49
4 Aberdeen 29 12 9 8 +2 45
5 Livingston 28 11 6 11 +1 39
6 St Mirren 28 9 7 12 -6 34
7 Dundee United 29 8 10 11 -12 34
8 ST Johnstone 29 7 9 13 -11 30
9 Motherwell 28 7 7 14 -17 28
10 Kilmarnock 29 7 3 19 -15 24
11 Hamilton 28 6 6 16 -26 24
12 Ross County 28 6 5 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Nov -20 Livingston – St Mirren 0–1 1. Aug -20 St Mirren – Livingston 1–0 12. Feb -20 Livingston – St Mirren 2–1 14. Dec -19 St Mirren – Livingston 3–3 31. Aug -19 Livingston – St Mirren 2–1

Match report

St Mirren Livingston
8′
⚽ C. McCarthy 1–0
own goal
2–0 C. MacPherson ⚽
J. Obika
32′
Half-time 2–0
56′
🔁 A. Taylor-Sinclair
↦ A. Forrest
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ D. Connolly
60′
64′
🔁 J. Kabia
↦ G. Reilly
64′
🔁 S. Lawson
↦ C. Sibbald
69′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ J. Mullin
72′
🟨 Jon Guthrie
L. Erwin 🔁
↦ C. MacPherson
73′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-1-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait M
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
8 R. Flynn M
11 Í. Durmuş M
21 D. Connolly F
14 C. MacPherson M
25 E. Erhahon M
9 J. Obika F
Bench (7)
10 K. McAllister
23 L. Erwin
15 D. Finlayson
33 L. Jamieson
27 P. Urminský
26 D. Lyness
30 J. Henderson

Coach: J. Goodwin

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 R. McCrorie G
25 E. Ambrose D
2 N. Devlin D
27 J. Guthrie D
12 J. Serrano D
14 J. Mullin M
18 J. Holt M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 A. Forrest M
20 G. Reilly F
8 S. Pittman M
Bench (9)
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair
37 J. Kabia
33 S. Lawson
9 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
22 S. Tiffoney
15 M. Poplatnik
32 M. Stryjek
21 J. McMillan
39 C. Pignatiello

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,75
🔒
U ✓
2,94
🔒
B
2,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,38
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.