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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Motherwell

S S S T S

2–0

Full-time

St Mirren

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,3

Scored

2,2

0,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Premiership · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

57%

14%

Points per game

1,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

71%

29%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

3,3

1,3

Scored

1,9

0,4

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 9

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motherwell 3. · St Mirren 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+17	19
2	Rangers	7	6	0	1	+16	18
3	Motherwell	7	4	1	2	+3	13
4	Ross County	8	3	3	2	-1	12
5	Aberdeen	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Livingston	7	2	2	3	-1	8
7	Kilmarnock	7	2	2	3	-2	8
8	Hamilton	7	2	2	3	-3	8
9	Hearts	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-3	5
11	Hibernian	7	1	2	4	-10	5
12	ST Johnstone	8	0	4	4	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Rangers	4	3	0	1	+10	9
3	Aberdeen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Ross County	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Hamilton	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Kilmarnock	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	St Mirren	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Livingston	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Motherwell	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Hearts	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	ST Johnstone	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Motherwell	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Rangers	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Ross County	4	1	2	1	-2	5
5	Livingston	4	1	1	2	+0	4
6	Hearts	4	1	1	2	-2	4
7	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
8	Kilmarnock	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	ST Johnstone	4	0	3	1	-7	3
10	Hamilton	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	St Mirren	3	0	0	3	-3	0
12	Hibernian	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.