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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
Motherwell
S S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Livingston
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
55%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
73%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
55%
64%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 3. · Livingston 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 11 9 1 1 +27 28
2 Rangers 11 9 1 1 +26 28
3 Motherwell 11 6 1 4 +2 19
4 Aberdeen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
5 Kilmarnock 11 5 2 4 +0 17
6 Livingston 11 3 4 4 +0 13
7 Ross County 11 3 4 4 -11 13
8 ST Johnstone 11 2 4 5 -13 10
9 Hibernian 11 1 6 4 -10 9
10 Hamilton 11 2 3 6 -10 9
11 Hearts 11 1 5 5 -5 8
12 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 -6 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Livingston
30′
🟨 Jon Guthrie
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Long
L. Polworth
47′
Declan Gallagher 🟨
52′
59′
🔁 S. Lawless
↦ K. Jacobs
60′
S. Lawless 1–1
J. Scott 🔁
↦ D. Cole
66′
69′
🟨 Steven Lawless
S. Seedorf 🔁
↦ J. Hylton
75′
2–1 A. Campbell
83′
84′
🔁 C. Sibbald
↦ S. Tiffoney
B. Mugabi 🔁
↦ C. Long
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-3-3
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
31 D. Gallagher D
3 J. Carroll D
22 L. Donnelly D
4 L. Grimshaw M
19 L. Polworth M
14 J. Hylton F
6 A. Campbell M
44 D. Cole F
9 C. Long F
Bench (7)
17 J. Scott
11 S. Seedorf
24 B. Mugabi
16 C. Ilic
15 B. Maguire
1 T. Carson
2 R. Tait

Coach: S. Robinson

Livingston

4-2-3-1
30 M. Šarkić G
4 A. Lithgow D
5 R. Lamie D
27 J. Guthrie D
33 S. Lawson D
14 H. Odofin D
7 K. Jacobs M
6 M. Bartley M
16 R. Crawford M
8 S. Pittman M
22 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (6)
11 S. Lawless
10 C. Sibbald
1 R. Stewart
21 J. McMillan
31 J. Stobbs
17 S. Robinson

Coach: G. Holt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,48
B
3,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.