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Premiership
Referee: B Madden
Dundee United
S S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
46%
31%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
23%
46%
Both score Ø 47%
31%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Dundee United 4. · Aberdeen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 13 9 3 1 +16 30
2 Celtic 13 8 2 3 +21 26
3 Hearts 13 6 6 1 +11 24
4 Dundee United 13 6 3 4 +0 21
5 Motherwell 13 5 3 5 -4 18
6 Hibernian 11 4 3 4 +0 15
7 Aberdeen 13 4 3 6 -3 15
8 St Mirren 13 3 6 4 -6 15
9 ST Johnstone 13 3 5 5 -4 14
10 Livingston 12 3 3 6 -6 12
11 Dundee 13 2 4 7 -16 10
12 Ross County 12 1 3 8 -9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Aberdeen
Kieran Freeman 🟨
4′
40′
🟨 Ryan Hedges
40′
🟨 Funso Ojo
Calum Butcher 🟥
42′
45′
🟨 Funso Ojo
45′
🟥 Funso Ojo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Hayes
↦ J. MacKenzie
L. Appéré 🔁
↦ I. Niskanen
56′
F. Hoti 🔁
↦ J. Fuchs
59′
65′
🔁 T. Jenks
↦ D. McGeouch
D. Glass 🔁
↦ P. Pawlett
68′
73′
🔁 M. Longstaff
↦ J. Gurr
1–0 I. Harkes
S. McMann
80′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-5-1
1 B. Siegrist G
4 C. Mulgrew D
12 R. Edwards D
33 S. McMann D
22 K. Freeman D
8 P. Pawlett M
18 C. Butcher M
7 I. Niskanen M
66 J. Fuchs M
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark F
Bench (7)
27 L. Appéré
14 F. Hoti
21 D. Glass
16 T. Carson
32 A. Meekison
28 K. Smith
94 M. Biamou

Coach: T. Courts

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
1 J. Lewis G
3 J. MacKenzie D
21 J. Gurr M
8 S. Brown D
16 F. Ojo M
15 D. McGeouch M
2 R. McCrorie D
24 D. Campbell M
7 M. Watkins F
9 C. Ramírez F
11 R. Hedges F
Bench (7)
17 J. Hayes
20 T. Jenks
44 M. Longstaff
10 N. McGinn
25 G. Woods
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
23 A. Samuels

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,08
U
3,20
B
2,37
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.