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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Dundee
S U T S T
3–0
Full-time
Motherwell
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 29%
15%
43%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
54%
43%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 11. · Motherwell 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 13 9 3 1 +16 30
2 Celtic 13 8 2 3 +21 26
3 Hearts 14 6 6 2 +9 24
4 Dundee United 14 7 3 4 +1 24
5 Motherwell 14 6 3 5 -2 21
6 St Mirren 14 3 7 4 -6 16
7 Hibernian 12 4 3 5 -1 15
8 Aberdeen 14 4 3 7 -4 15
9 ST Johnstone 13 3 5 5 -4 14
10 Livingston 13 3 4 6 -6 13
11 Dundee 13 2 4 7 -16 10
12 Ross County 13 2 3 8 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -21 Motherwell – Dundee 1–0

Match report

Dundee Motherwell
10′
🟨 Callum Slattery
1–0 L. McCowan
19′
2–0 D. Mullen
L. McCowan
26′
Danny Mullen 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. van Veen
↦ C. Shields
46′
🔁 J. Roberts
↦ L. Grimshaw
3–0 R. Sweeney
L. Ashcroft
49′
L. Fontaine 🔁
↦ L. Ashcroft
54′
58′
🟨 Bevis Mugabi
Ryan Sweeney 🟨
59′
L. Griffiths 🔁
↦ P. McGowan
65′
C. Elliott 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
69′
Liam Fontaine 🟨
76′
81′
🟨 Jordan Roberts
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Dundee

4-4-1-1
1 A. Legzdins G
14 L. Ashcroft D
2 C. Kerr D
5 R. Sweeney D
3 J. Marshall D
26 C. Adam M
10 P. McGowan F
18 P. McMullan M
24 M. Anderson M
17 L. McCowan M
9 D. Mullen F
Bench (7)
4 L. Fontaine
29 L. Griffiths
16 C. Elliott
48 C. Lamb
21 I. Lawlor
35 J. Cummings
20 C. Panter

Coach: J. McPake

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
4 R. Lamie D
23 L. Grimshaw M
19 N. McGinley D
21 S. Johansen D
5 B. Mugabi D
6 B. Maguire M
16 C. Slattery M
32 T. Watt F
7 K. Woolery F
29 C. Shields F
Bench (7)
9 K. van Veen
28 J. Roberts
3 J. Carroll
2 S. O'Donnell
12 S. Fox
15 D. O'Connor
18 D. Cornelius

Coach: G. Alexander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,48
U
3,29
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.