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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Dundee United
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
St Mirren
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
35%
15%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
25%
45%
Both score Ø 40%
30%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 7. · St Mirren 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 20 16 3 1 +29 51
2 Celtic 21 15 3 3 +32 48
3 Hearts 20 10 6 4 +11 36
4 Motherwell 20 9 4 7 -2 31
5 Hibernian 21 8 5 8 +0 29
6 Aberdeen 20 8 3 9 +1 27
7 Dundee United 20 7 4 9 -7 25
8 Livingston 21 6 5 10 -8 23
9 St Mirren 20 3 10 7 -13 19
10 Ross County 20 4 6 10 -8 18
11 Dundee 21 4 4 13 -21 16
12 ST Johnstone 20 3 5 12 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United St Mirren
Scott McMann 🟨
7′
15′
J. Henderson 0–1
G. Kiltie
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Alan Power
T. Watt 🔁
↦ I. Niskanen
59′
60′
E. Brophy 0–2
G. Kiltie
K. Freeman 🔁
↦ L. Neilson
68′
N. Clark 🔁
↦ J. Fuchs
68′
0–3 A. Power
own goal
73′
82′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ E. Brophy
Charlie Mulgrew 🟨
83′
D. Glass 🔁
↦ P. Pawlett
83′
88′
🔁 A. Greive
↦ G. Kiltie
Tony Watt 🟨
89′
93′
🔁 K. McAllister
↦ J. Henderson
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-4-1-1
1 B. Siegrist G
4 C. Mulgrew D
12 R. Edwards D
33 S. McMann D
20 L. Neilson D
8 P. Pawlett M
7 I. Niskanen M
66 J. Fuchs M
19 D. Levitt M
23 I. Harkes F
9 M. McNulty F
Bench (9)
32 T. Watt
22 K. Freeman
10 N. Clark
21 D. Glass
27 L. Appéré
13 C. Eriksson
18 C. Butcher
3 A. Spörle
26 C. Mochrie

Coach: T. Courts

St Mirren

3-5-1-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser M
6 A. Power M
11 G. Kiltie F
43 C. Ronan M
16 E. Erhahon M
12 J. Henderson M
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (8)
8 R. Flynn
21 A. Greive
17 K. McAllister
44 M. Millar
2 R. Tait
23 L. Erwin
27 P. Urminský
26 D. Lyness

Coach: J. Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,68
U
3,14
B ✓
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.