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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
St Mirren
U U T U T
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
18%
31%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 8. · Hibernian 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 16 12 3 1 +22 39
2 Celtic 16 11 2 3 +26 35
3 Hearts 17 8 6 3 +11 30
4 Dundee United 17 7 4 6 -3 25
5 Motherwell 17 7 4 6 -4 25
6 Aberdeen 17 6 3 8 +0 21
7 Hibernian 16 5 4 7 -2 19
8 St Mirren 17 3 8 6 -11 17
9 Livingston 17 4 4 9 -10 16
10 Dundee 17 4 4 9 -16 16
11 ST Johnstone 15 3 5 7 -6 14
12 Ross County 16 3 5 8 -7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Hibernian
Alan Power 🟨
7′
11′
🟨 Ryan Porteous
Ryan Flynn 🟨
36′
37′
🟨 Christopher Cadden
Half-time 0–1
52′
J. Campbell 0–1
K. Dennis 🔁
↦ R. Flynn
60′
C. Ronan 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
61′
K. McAllister 🔁
↦ M. Millar
65′
68′
🟨 Josh Campbell
Scott Tanser 🟨
71′
72′
🔁 D. Wright
↦ J. Murphy
77′
🟨 Darren McGregor
83′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ K. Nisbet
1–1 J. Shaughnessy
S. Tanser
87′
Jak Alnwick 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser M
8 R. Flynn M
6 A. Power M
11 G. Kiltie F
7 J. McGrath F
44 M. Millar M
10 C. Main F
Bench (7)
20 K. Dennis
43 C. Ronan
17 K. McAllister
23 L. Erwin
2 R. Tait
26 D. Lyness
16 E. Erhahon

Coach: J. Goodwin

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 M. Macey G
16 L. Stevenson D
24 D. McGregor D
27 C. Cadden D
5 R. Porteous D
18 J. Murphy M
10 M. Boyle M
11 J. Newell M
13 A. Gogić M
32 J. Campbell M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (7)
8 D. Wright
9 C. Doidge
25 J. Scott
3 J. Doig
23 S. Allan
19 J. Gullan
21 M. Dąbrowski

Coach: J. Ross

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U ✓
3,18
B
2,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.