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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Aberdeen
S T T T S
4–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
31%
19%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

50% Possession 50%
24 Shots 13
11 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 7. · St Mirren 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 15 11 3 1 +19 36
2 Celtic 15 10 2 3 +23 32
3 Hearts 16 7 6 3 +10 27
4 Dundee United 16 7 4 5 +0 25
5 Motherwell 16 7 3 6 -4 24
6 Hibernian 14 5 3 6 -1 18
7 Aberdeen 16 5 3 8 -3 18
8 St Mirren 16 3 8 5 -8 17
9 Dundee 15 4 4 7 -12 16
10 ST Johnstone 15 3 5 7 -6 14
11 Livingston 15 3 4 8 -10 13
12 Ross County 15 2 5 8 -8 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,32
B
4,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,33
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.