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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Aberdeen
U T U T T
1–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
32%
16%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
44%
32%
Both score Ø 48%
60%
36%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
20 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 9. · ST Johnstone 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 20 3 3 +42 63
2 Rangers 26 19 5 2 +34 62
3 Hearts 26 12 7 7 +8 43
4 Dundee United 26 9 6 11 -6 33
5 Motherwell 26 9 6 11 -12 33
6 St Mirren 25 7 11 7 -9 32
7 Hibernian 26 8 7 11 -4 31
8 Livingston 26 8 6 12 -8 30
9 Aberdeen 25 8 5 12 -2 29
10 Ross County 26 6 9 11 -6 27
11 Dundee 25 5 6 14 -21 21
12 ST Johnstone 25 4 7 14 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Dec -21 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 18. Sep -21 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 0–1 10. Apr -21 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–1 27. Jan -21 ST Johnstone – Aberdeen 0–0 26. Dec -20 Aberdeen – ST Johnstone 2–1

Match report

Aberdeen ST Johnstone
6′
⚽ C. Hendry 0–1
42′
🔁 E. Parish
↦ Z. Clark
Half-time 0–1
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ D. Gallagher
46′
A. Montgomery 🔁
↦ J. MacKenzie
52′
54′
🟨 Dan Cleary
David Bates 🟨
57′
60′
🟨 Jacob Luke Butterfield
61′
🔁 S. May
↦ C. Hendry
F. Ojo 🔁
↦ S. Brown
65′
1–1 L. Ferguson ⚽
71′
73′
🔁 T. Gallacher
↦ M. Hallberg
J. Emmanuel-Thomas 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
74′
74′
🔁 L. Craig
↦ C. Booth
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
5 D. Gallagher D
27 D. Bates D
3 J. MacKenzie D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
17 J. Hayes M
33 M. Kennedy M
19 L. Ferguson M
29 C. Barron M
9 C. Ramírez F
Bench (9)
10 V. Besuijen
11 A. Montgomery
16 F. Ojo
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
28 M. Ruth
18 C. McLennan
20 T. Jenks
15 D. McGeouch
25 G. Woods

Coach: B. Robson

ST Johnstone

3-4-2-1
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
5 D. Cleary D
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
2 J. Brown M
34 J. Butterfield M
21 A. Crawford F
29 M. Hallberg M
14 G. Middleton F
22 C. Hendry F
Bench (9)
12 E. Parish
7 S. May
3 T. Gallacher
26 L. Craig
16 J. Mahon
27 T. Sang
17 T. Bair
15 C. Gilmour
33 J. Hector-Ingram

Coach: C. Davidson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
🔒
U ✓
3,41
🔒
B
5,68
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,54
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,50
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.