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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Livingston
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 32%
29%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
42%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
57%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
24 Free kicks against 10
9 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 9. · Aberdeen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 3 3 +37 57
2 Rangers 24 17 5 2 +27 56
3 Hearts 24 12 7 5 +14 43
4 Motherwell 24 9 6 9 -6 33
5 Hibernian 24 8 7 9 -1 31
6 Aberdeen 23 8 5 10 +0 29
7 Dundee United 24 8 5 11 -8 29
8 Ross County 25 6 8 11 -6 26
9 Livingston 24 7 5 12 -9 26
10 St Mirren 23 5 11 7 -11 26
11 ST Johnstone 23 4 6 13 -15 18
12 Dundee 24 4 6 14 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Aberdeen
1–0 A. Obileye
8′
Cristian Montano 🟨
23′
Jack Fitzwater 🟨
38′
Stephane Omeonga 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
Adam Lewis 🟨
46′
S. Pittman 🔁
↦ A. Lewis
46′
46′
🔁 J. MacKenzie
↦ T. Jenks
2–0 A. Forrest
C. Montaño
49′
64′
🔁 M. Kennedy
↦ C. Ramsay
66′
C. Ramírez 2–1
Alan Forrest 🟨
68′
Scott Pitman 🟨
71′
71′
🟨 Jonny Hayes
Max Stryjek 🟨
73′
Cristian Montano 🟨
82′
Cristian Montano 🟥
82′
82′
🟨 Vicente Besuijen
M. Boyes 🔁
↦ A. Forrest
84′
C. Chukwuemeka 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
84′
84′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ A. Montgomery
87′
🟨 Funso Ojo
Jason Holt 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Jack Mackenzie
O. Bailey 🔁
↦ C. Chukwuemeka
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
32 M. Stryjek G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
5 J. Fitzwater D
16 A. Lewis M
29 J. Penrice D
18 J. Holt M
11 C. Montaño F
17 A. Forrest F
33 S. Oméonga M
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
8 S. Pittman
15 M. Boyes
23 C. Chukwuemeka
14 O. Bailey
36 G. Maley
24 S. Kelly
3 J. Longridge
10 C. Sibbald
21 J. McMillan

Coach: D. Martindale

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
25 G. Woods G
27 D. Bates D
22 C. Ramsay D
11 A. Montgomery D
17 J. Hayes M
16 F. Ojo M
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
20 T. Jenks M
9 C. Ramírez F
10 V. Besuijen M
Bench (9)
3 J. MacKenzie
33 M. Kennedy
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
30 T. Ritchie
28 M. Ruth
39 J. Milne
15 D. McGeouch
8 S. Brown
5 D. Gallagher

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,26
U
3,02
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,57
U2,5
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.