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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
ST Johnstone
U S U T T
0–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 15/17 matches
Win Ø 28%
20%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
27%
47%
Both score Ø 46%
33%
59%
Average goals
1,6
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
8 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 11. · Aberdeen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 16 12 3 1 +22 39
2 Celtic 16 11 2 3 +26 35
3 Hearts 17 8 6 3 +11 30
4 Dundee United 17 7 4 6 -3 25
5 Motherwell 17 7 4 6 -4 25
6 Aberdeen 17 6 3 8 +0 21
7 Hibernian 16 5 4 7 -2 19
8 St Mirren 17 3 8 6 -11 17
9 Livingston 17 4 4 9 -10 16
10 Dundee 17 4 4 9 -16 16
11 ST Johnstone 15 3 5 7 -6 14
12 Ross County 16 3 5 8 -7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone Aberdeen
Half-time 0–0
Liam Craig 🟨
60′
E. Vertainen 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
62′
65′
🔁 T. Jenks
↦ J. Emmanuel-Thomas
76′
🟨 Marley Watkins
Shaun Rooney 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 David Bates
80′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ M. Watkins
83′
T. Jenks 0–1
Zander Clark 🟨
84′
85′
🟨 Christian Ramirez
V. Solomon-Otabor 🔁
↦ A. Crawford
87′
M. O'Halloran 🔁
↦ S. Rooney
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Clark G
24 C. Booth M
19 S. Rooney M
6 L. Gordon D
4 J. Mccart D
2 J. Brown D
26 L. Craig M
13 C. Bryson M
21 A. Crawford F
9 C. Kane F
14 G. Middleton F
Bench (7)
17 E. Vertainen
27 V. Solomon-Otabor
11 M. O'Halloran
35 J. Moreland
5 L. Dendoncker
3 R. Devine
12 E. Parish

Coach: C. Davidson

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
27 D. Bates D
8 S. Brown M
17 J. Hayes D
16 F. Ojo D
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
7 M. Watkins M
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas M
9 C. Ramírez F
11 R. Hedges M
Bench (7)
20 T. Jenks
18 C. McLennan
25 G. Woods
3 J. MacKenzie
23 A. Samuels
5 D. Gallagher
24 D. Campbell

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,16
U
2,98
B ✓
2,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,60
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.