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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
St Mirren
T U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Aberdeen
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 9. · Aberdeen 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 21 16 4 1 +29 52
2 Celtic 21 15 3 3 +32 48
3 Hearts 21 11 6 4 +13 39
4 Motherwell 21 9 4 8 -4 31
5 Hibernian 21 8 5 8 +0 29
6 Aberdeen 21 8 4 9 +1 28
7 Dundee United 21 7 4 10 -8 25
8 Livingston 21 6 5 10 -8 23
9 St Mirren 21 4 10 7 -12 22
10 Ross County 21 5 6 10 -6 21
11 Dundee 21 4 4 13 -21 16
12 ST Johnstone 21 3 5 13 -16 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Dec -21 Aberdeen – St Mirren 4–1 26. Sep -21 St Mirren – Aberdeen 3–2 13. Feb -21 Aberdeen – St Mirren 0–0 5. Dec -20 St Mirren – Aberdeen 1–1 2. Oct -20 Aberdeen – St Mirren 2–1

Match report

St Mirren Aberdeen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Ronan ⚽
G. Kiltie
61′
62′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ R. Hedges
70′
🟨 Dean Campbell
A. Greive 🔁
↦ E. Brophy
72′
73′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ T. Jenks
E. Erhahon 🔁
↦ C. Ronan
78′
78′
🔁 M. Kennedy
↦ C. Ramsay
Scott Tanser 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 J. Alnwick G
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
6 A. Power M
11 G. Kiltie M
7 J. McGrath M
43 C. Ronan M
12 J. Henderson M
9 E. Brophy F
Bench (9)
21 A. Greive
16 E. Erhahon
23 L. Erwin
15 D. Reid
8 R. Flynn
20 K. Dennis
26 D. Lyness
17 K. McAllister
2 R. Tait

Coach: J. Goodwin

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
27 D. Bates D
22 C. Ramsay D
8 S. Brown M
16 F. Ojo M
2 R. McCrorie D
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell D
20 T. Jenks M
9 C. Ramírez F
11 R. Hedges M
Bench (8)
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
18 C. McLennan
33 M. Kennedy
29 C. Barron
39 J. Milne
5 D. Gallagher
25 G. Woods
15 D. McGeouch

Coach: S. Glass

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,24
🔒
U
3,12
🔒
B
2,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,39
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,56
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.