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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Rangers
S S S S T
3–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rangers Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 56%
74%
38%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
42%
43%
Both score Ø 37%
26%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rangers 2. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 19 14 1 4 +28 43
3 Hearts 20 10 3 7 +5 33
4 Kilmarnock 21 8 7 6 +3 31
5 St Mirren 21 8 5 8 -1 29
6 Hibernian 19 6 6 7 -3 24
7 Dundee 18 5 7 6 -6 22
8 Motherwell 20 4 7 9 -9 19
9 Aberdeen 17 5 4 8 -10 19
10 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
11 Ross County 18 4 6 8 -9 18
12 Livingston 20 2 6 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Aug -23 Kilmarnock – Rangers 1–0 4. Mar -23 Rangers – Kilmarnock 3–1 18. Jan -23 Kilmarnock – Rangers 2–3 6. Aug -22 Rangers – Kilmarnock 2–0 13. Feb -21 Rangers – Kilmarnock 1–0

Match report

Rangers Kilmarnock
Todd Cantwell 🟨
15′
18′
🔁 D. Watson
↦ L. Donnelly
30′
🟨 Rory McKenzie
41′
🟨 David Watson
1–0 R. McCausland ⚽
C. Dessers
41′
2–0 A. Sima ⚽
C. Goldson
45′
Half-time 2–0
58′
ℹ️ Rory McKenzie
VAR: Penalty confirmed
59′
⚽ D. Armstrong 2–1
3–1 T. Cantwell ⚽
R. Yılmaz
61′
62′
🔁 M. Watkins
↦ K. Vassell
62′
🔁 G. Mackay-Steven
↦ D. Armstrong
63′
🟨 Joe Wright
Fábio Silva 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
71′
D. Sterling 🔁
↦ K. Dowell
71′
S. Wright 🔁
↦ A. Sima
84′
R. Matondo 🔁
↦ R. McCausland
84′
86′
🔁 R. Deas
↦ C. Ndaba
86′
🔁 F. Murray
↦ M. Kennedy
N. Raskin 🔁
↦ T. Cantwell
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Rangers

4-3-3
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
6 C. Goldson D
5 J. Souttar D
3 R. Yılmaz D
20 K. Dowell M
4 J. Lundstram M
13 T. Cantwell M
45 R. McCausland F
9 C. Dessers F
19 A. Sima F
Bench (9)
7 Fábio Silva
21 D. Sterling
23 S. Wright
17 R. Matondo
43 N. Raskin
38 L. King
44 A. Devine
14 S. Lammers
28 R. McCrorie

Coach: P. Clement

Kilmarnock

4-5-1
1 W. Dennis G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
7 R. McKenzie M
22 L. Donnelly M
31 L. Polworth M
10 M. Kennedy M
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
12 D. Watson
23 M. Watkins
39 G. Mackay-Steven
6 R. Deas
15 F. Murray
20 K. O'Hara
19 T. Davies
21 A. Dallas
14 J. Sanders

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,23
🔒
U
6,14
🔒
B
12,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,58
🔒
U2,5
2,33
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.