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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Livingston
U T T U T
1–2
Full-time
Hearts
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
10%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
30%
30%
Both score Ø 33%
35%
30%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 19 14 1 4 +28 43
3 Hearts 20 10 3 7 +5 33
4 Kilmarnock 21 8 7 6 +3 31
5 St Mirren 21 8 5 8 -1 29
6 Hibernian 19 6 6 7 -3 24
7 Dundee 18 5 7 6 -6 22
8 Motherwell 20 4 7 9 -9 19
9 Aberdeen 17 5 4 8 -10 19
10 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
11 Ross County 18 4 6 8 -9 18
12 Livingston 20 2 6 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -23 Hearts – Livingston 1–0 29. Jan -23 Livingston – Hearts 0–0 12. Nov -22 Hearts – Livingston 1–1 3. Sep -22 Livingston – Hearts 1–0 19. Mar -22 Hearts – Livingston 2–0

Match report

Livingston Hearts
Kurtis Guthrie ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
12′
42′
🟨 Calem Nieuwenhof
Half-time 0–0
C. Montaño 🔁
↦ T. Parkes
46′
Tom Parkes 🟨
49′
49′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
53′
⚽ K. Vargas 0–1
A. Forrest
60′
🟨 Frankie Kent
T. Yengi 🔁
↦ S. Bradley
62′
64′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–2
A. Forrest
J. Nouble 🔁
↦ J. Penrice
68′
M. Nottingham 🔁
↦ M. Devlin
68′
Andrew Shinnie ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
77′
1–2 A. Shinnie ⚽
79′
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ S. Pittman
84′
90′
🔁 A. Denholm
↦ C. Nieuwenhof
92′
🔁 Y. Oda
↦ K. Vargas
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-2-1
32 J. Hamilton G
5 M. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
4 T. Parkes D
12 J. Brandon M
22 A. Shinnie M
18 J. Holt M
29 J. Penrice M
16 S. Bradley F
8 S. Pittman F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
3 C. Montaño
33 T. Yengi
19 J. Nouble
21 M. Nottingham
9 B. Anderson
11 D. Mackay
1 S. George
20 M. Sangare
23 L. de Lucas

Coach: D. Martindale

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
2 F. Kent D
4 C. Halkett D
3 S. Kingsley D
21 T. Sibbick M
5 P. Haring M
77 K. Vargas M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
17 A. Forrest F
Bench (9)
11 Y. Oda
22 A. Denholm
54 J. Wilson
51 A. Lowry
1 C. Gordon
24 F. Pollock
16 A. Halliday
30 K. Tagawa
25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,08
🔒
U
3,45
🔒
B ✓
1,91
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,26
🔒
U2,5
1,62
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.