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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
St Mirren
T T S U T
0–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,3
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
37%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 42%
37%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
5 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 15 3 2 +34 48
2 Rangers 18 14 1 3 +29 43
3 Hearts 18 9 2 7 +4 29
4 Kilmarnock 19 7 6 6 +2 27
5 St Mirren 19 7 5 7 -3 26
6 Hibernian 18 6 6 6 -2 24
7 Dundee 17 5 6 6 -6 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 19 3 7 9 -11 16
12 Livingston 19 2 6 11 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Sep -23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1 22. Apr -23 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–2 2. Jan -23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0 15. Oct -22 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 12. May -21 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 3–3

Match report

St Mirren Kilmarnock
25′
⚽ M. Watkins 0–1
M. Kennedy
Richard Taylor 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
Alexander Gogić 🟨
59′
C. McMenamin 🔁
↦ M. Fraser
64′
M. Mandron 🔁
↦ T. Olusanya
64′
72′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ M. Kennedy
74′
🟨 Stuart Findlay
S. Nahmani 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
75′
75′
🔁 A. Dallas
↦ M. Watkins
86′
🟨 Robbie Deas
87′
🔁 J. Wright
↦ D. Armstrong
Keanu Baccus 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
22 M. Fraser M
6 M. O'Hara M
17 K. Baccus M
11 G. Kiltie M
3 S. Tanser M
20 T. Olusanya F
7 J. Ayunga F
Bench (9)
10 C. McMenamin
9 M. Mandron
19 S. Nahmani
8 R. Flynn
15 C. Boyd-Munce
16 T. Small
24 L. Jamieson
18 C. Dunne
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
12 D. Watson M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
21 A. Dallas
4 J. Wright
31 L. Polworth
25 S. Warnock
14 J. Sanders
19 T. Davies
20 K. O'Hara
39 G. Mackay-Steven

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,65
🔒
U
3,06
🔒
B ✓
2,79
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,35
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.