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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Kilmarnock
S S U S S
2–2
Full-time
Dundee
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 20/17 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
59%
Both score Ø 43%
45%
41%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 4. · Dundee 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 19 14 1 4 +28 43
3 Hearts 19 10 2 7 +5 32
4 Kilmarnock 20 8 6 6 +3 30
5 St Mirren 20 7 5 8 -4 26
6 Hibernian 19 6 6 7 -3 24
7 Dundee 17 5 6 6 -6 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 19 3 7 9 -11 16
12 Livingston 19 2 6 11 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Dundee
Matthew Kennedy 🟨
24′
35′
L. McCowan 0–1
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ B. Lyons
43′
Half-time 0–1
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ R. Deas
46′
68′
🔁 M. Boateng
↦ R. Howley
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ D. Watson
77′
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
77′
78′
🔁 C. Reilly
↦ S. Tiffoney
82′
🔁 C. Kerr
↦ J. Mulligan
Liam Donnelly 🟨
83′
1–1 J. Wright
85′
87′
🟨 Malachi Boateng
C. Ndaba 🔁
↦ J. Wright
88′
2–1 R. McKenzie
M. Watkins
93′
95′
J. Shaughnessy 2–2
O. Beck
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
6 R. Deas D
11 D. Armstrong M
8 B. Lyons M
12 D. Watson M
10 M. Kennedy M
9 K. Vassell F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
31 L. Polworth
22 L. Donnelly
39 G. Mackay-Steven
3 C. Ndaba
20 K. O'Hara
21 A. Dallas
15 F. Murray
14 J. Sanders

Coach: D. McInnes

Dundee

3-5-2
31 T. Carson G
6 J. McGhee D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
25 A. Donnelly D
21 R. Howley M
15 J. Mulligan M
28 M. Sylla M
17 L. McCowan M
3 O. Beck M
7 S. Tiffoney F
9 A. Bakayoko F
Bench (9)
23 M. Boateng
18 C. Reilly
2 C. Kerr
1 A. Legzdiņš
19 F. Robertson
10 L. Cameron
14 L. Ashcroft
32 M. Lewis
20 Z. Rudden

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U ✓
3,53
B
4,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.