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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Kilmarnock
U T S S U
2–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,0
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
39%
28%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 5. · ST Johnstone 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 13 3 2 +29 42
2 Rangers 17 13 1 3 +27 40
3 Hearts 17 8 2 7 +2 26
4 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 -1 26
5 Kilmarnock 18 6 6 6 +1 24
6 Hibernian 18 6 6 6 -2 24
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 18 4 6 8 -13 18
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 18 3 7 8 -9 16
12 Livingston 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -23 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 2–1 20. May -23 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 0–1 18. Mar -23 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 1–1 29. Oct -22 ST Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 5. Oct -22 Kilmarnock – ST Johnstone 2–1

Match report

Kilmarnock ST Johnstone
1–0 D. Watson ⚽
D. Armstrong
6′
2–0 M. Watkins ⚽
D. Armstrong
17′
Half-time 2–0
57′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ D. Phillips
61′
⚽ N. Clark 2–1
M. Smith
64′
🟨 Dimitar Mitov
74′
🔁 D. Costelloe
↦ C. Kane
74′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ F. Franczak
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
83′
92′
🔁 S. May
↦ M. Smith
A. Dallas 🔁
↦ M. Watkins
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
11 D. Armstrong M
31 L. Polworth M
12 D. Watson M
8 B. Lyons M
3 C. Ndaba M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
7 R. McKenzie
21 A. Dallas
39 G. Mackay-Steven
4 J. Wright
25 S. Warnock
19 T. Davies
20 K. O'Hara
14 J. Sanders
29 A. Brown

Coach: D. McInnes

ST Johnstone

3-5-2
1 D. Mitov G
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
19 L. Robinson D
46 F. Franczak
15 M. Kucheriavyi M
34 D. Phillips M
22 M. Smith M
3 T. Gallacher M
11 G. Carey F
9 C. Kane F
Bench (9)
10 N. Clark
44 D. Costelloe
2 J. Brown
7 S. May
23 S. Sprangler
17 O. Olufunwa
27 J. Turner-Cooke
4 A. Considine
31 D. Richards

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
🔒
U
3,55
🔒
B
4,94
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,22
🔒
U2,5
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.