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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Ross County
T U T T U
0–1
Full-time
ST Johnstone
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County ST Johnstone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 19%
19%
18%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
43%
27%
Both score Ø 35%
29%
41%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 11. · ST Johnstone 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 4 2 +39 58
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 23 13 3 7 +9 42
4 Kilmarnock 23 8 8 7 +1 32
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Dundee 21 6 8 7 -4 26
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -6 26
8 Aberdeen 22 6 7 9 -9 25
9 Motherwell 22 4 9 9 -9 21
10 ST Johnstone 22 4 9 9 -14 21
11 Ross County 21 4 7 10 -13 19
12 Livingston 23 2 7 14 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Nov -23 ST Johnstone – Ross County 1–0 12. Aug -23 Ross County – ST Johnstone 2–0 24. May -23 Ross County – ST Johnstone 3–3 8. Apr -23 ST Johnstone – Ross County 0–2 17. Dec -22 Ross County – ST Johnstone 1–2

Match report

Ross County ST Johnstone
Jordan White 🟨
20′
34′
⚽ B. Mbunga Kimpioka 0–1
G. Carey
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 O. Olufunwa
↦ D. Keltjens
Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 🟨
54′
59′
🔁 N. Clark
↦ F. Franczak
59′
🔁 A. Sidibeh
↦ B. Mbunga Kimpioka
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ J. White
67′
M. Efete 🔁
↦ J. Brown
78′
J. Reid 🔁
↦ G. Harmon
79′
B. Khela 🔁
↦ C. Borthwick-Jackson
79′
86′
🟨 Connor Smith
Yan Dhanda 🟨
95′
96′
🔁 K. Smith
↦ T. Gallacher
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ross County

3-4-1-2
40 G. Wickens G
28 L. Ayina D
35 W. Nightingale D
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson D
4 J. Brown M
21 T. Jenks M
18 E. King M
16 G. Harmon M
10 Y. Dhanda F
15 S. Murray F
26 J. White F
Bench (9)
27 E. Brophy
24 M. Efete
43 J. Reid
19 B. Khela
17 J. Henderson
12 M. Sheaf
14 V. Loturi
11 J. Sims
41 L. Ross

Coach: D. Adams

ST Johnstone

4-5-1
1 D. Mitov G
33 D. Keltjens D
5 R. McGowan D
4 A. Considine D
19 L. Robinson D
46 F. Franczak
15 M. Kucheriavyi M
50 C. Smith M
11 G. Carey M
3 T. Gallacher M
29 B. Mbunga Kimpioka F
Bench (9)
17 O. Olufunwa
10 N. Clark
16 A. Sidibeh
35 K. Smith
31 D. Richards
23 S. Sprangler
13 D. Jaiyesimi
9 C. Kane
7 S. May

Coach: C. Levein

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
🔒
U
3,07
🔒
B ✓
3,31
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,42
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,54
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.