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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Kilmarnock
U S U S T
2–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
65%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · St Mirren 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 16 2 0 +48 50
2 Rangers 18 11 3 4 +18 36
3 Aberdeen 19 10 4 5 +5 34
4 Dundee United 19 8 7 4 +8 31
5 St Mirren 20 8 3 9 -5 27
6 Motherwell 19 8 3 8 -8 27
7 Hibernian 20 6 6 8 -4 24
8 Dundee 19 6 4 9 -5 22
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 6 9 -13 21
10 Ross County 20 4 7 9 -18 19
11 Hearts 20 4 5 11 -8 17
12 ST Johnstone 20 4 2 14 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Sep -24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 2–2 11. May -24 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 16. Mar -24 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 5–2 27. Dec -23 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–1 30. Sep -23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 1–1

Match report

Kilmarnock St Mirren
Bruce Anderson ❌
penalty missed
8′
1–0 B. Anderson ⚽
8′
21′
🟨 Richard Taylor
K. Magennis 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. O'Hara
↦ O. Smyth
49′
🟨 Alexander Gogić
54′
🔁 M. Mandron
↦ R. Idowu
2–0 B. Anderson ⚽
65′
66′
🔁 E. Bwomono
↦ A. Gogić
66′
🔁 O. Oseni
↦ J. Ayunga
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ B. Wales
74′
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ L. Polworth
74′
74′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ T. Olusanya
D. Watson 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 R. McCrorie G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
6 R. Deas D
3 C. Ndaba D
15 F. Murray M
8 B. Lyons M
31 L. Polworth M
24 B. Wales M
9 K. Vassell F
19 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
16 K. Magennis
18 I. Cameron
22 L. Donnelly
12 D. Watson
14 G. Mackay-Steven
1 K. O'Hara
2 J. Burroughs
51 O. Bainbridge
7 R. McKenzie

Coach: D. McInnes

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 E. Balcombe G
13 A. Gogić D
4 A. Iacovitti D
5 R. Taylor D
22 M. Fraser M
88 K. Phillips M
8 O. Smyth M
3 S. Tanser M
12 R. Idowu F
7 J. Ayunga F
20 T. Olusanya F
Bench (9)
6 M. O'Hara
9 M. Mandron
42 E. Bwomono
19 O. Oseni
11 G. Kiltie
27 P. Urminský
15 C. Boyd-Munce
24 D. John
33 E. Mooney

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
🔒
U
3,36
🔒
B
3,31
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,93
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.