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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
ST Johnstone
T T S T U
2–3
Full-time
St Mirren
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
75%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 9. · St Mirren 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 15 14 1 0 +40 43
2 Aberdeen 16 10 4 2 +12 34
3 Rangers 15 10 2 3 +18 32
4 Dundee United 15 6 6 3 +7 24
5 Motherwell 15 7 1 7 -5 22
6 Dundee 16 5 4 7 -2 19
7 St Mirren 16 5 3 8 -7 18
8 Ross County 16 3 6 7 -18 15
9 ST Johnstone 16 4 2 10 -11 14
10 Kilmarnock 16 3 5 8 -17 14
11 Hearts 16 3 4 9 -7 13
12 Hibernian 16 2 6 8 -10 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

ST Johnstone St Mirren
10′
K. Phillips 0–1
M. Mandron
Half-time 0–1
D. Keltjens 🔁
↦ L. Neilson
46′
1–1 M. Kirk
N. Clark
52′
60′
🟨 Greg Kiltie
64′
🔁 D. John
↦ S. Tanser
64′
🔁 L. Kenny
↦ R. Taylor
69′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ M. Mandron
69′
🔁 R. Idowu
↦ C. McMenamin
Jason Holt 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 E. Mooney
↦ G. Kiltie
2–1 B. Kimpioka
D. Wright
81′
88′
E. Mooney 2–2
Jack Sanders 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Toyosi Olusanya
95′
ℹ️ Roland Idowu
VAR: Penalty confirmed
99′
R. Idowu 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
12 J. Rae G
6 L. Neilson D
5 J. Sanders D
2 B. Mikulić D
14 D. Wright D
22 M. Smith M
7 J. Holt M
27 M. Kirk M
10 N. Clark M
29 B. Kimpioka M
16 A. Sidibeh F
Bench (9)
33 D. Keltjens
4 K. Cameron
20 R. Sinclair
15 A. Essel
52 A. Brookfield
11 G. Carey
17 M. Kucheriavyi
24 J. McPake
46 F. Franczak

Coach: S. Valakari

St Mirren

3-4-2-1
1 E. Balcombe G
22 M. Fraser D
4 A. Iacovitti D
5 R. Taylor D
42 E. Bwomono M
88 K. Phillips M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
10 C. McMenamin F
11 G. Kiltie F
9 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
24 D. John
26 L. Kenny
20 T. Olusanya
12 R. Idowu
33 E. Mooney
14 J. Scott
27 P. Urminský
8 O. Smyth
15 C. Boyd-Munce

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,91
U
3,27
B ✓
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.