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Premiership

Referee: R Hardie

Kilmarnock

S U S T U

5–2

Full-time

St Mirren

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,2

This season — Premiership · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

34%

41%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

45%

41%

Both score Ø 43%

55%

31%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 5. · St Mirren 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	29	23	1	5	+48	70
2	Celtic	29	21	5	3	+46	68
3	Hearts	29	17	4	8	+10	55
4	St Mirren	29	12	6	11	+2	42
5	Kilmarnock	29	10	11	8	+3	41
6	Dundee	29	9	9	11	-10	36
7	Hibernian	29	8	11	10	-7	35
8	Motherwell	29	7	11	11	-5	32
9	ST Johnstone	29	6	10	13	-18	28
10	Aberdeen	29	6	9	14	-16	27
11	Ross County	29	5	9	15	-24	24
12	Livingston	29	3	8	18	-29	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	15	12	0	3	+25	36
2	Celtic	14	10	3	1	+25	33
3	Kilmarnock	15	8	4	3	+8	28
4	Hearts	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	St Mirren	15	8	3	4	+6	27
6	Dundee	14	6	4	4	+0	22
7	Hibernian	15	5	4	6	-2	19
8	ST Johnstone	15	4	6	5	-6	18
9	Motherwell	14	4	4	6	+0	16
10	Ross County	14	4	4	6	-4	16
11	Aberdeen	14	3	6	5	-4	15
12	Livingston	14	2	5	7	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	15	11	2	2	+21	35
2	Rangers	14	11	1	2	+23	34
3	Hearts	14	9	0	5	+2	27
4	Hibernian	14	3	7	4	-5	16
5	Motherwell	15	3	7	5	-5	16
6	St Mirren	14	4	3	7	-4	15
7	Dundee	15	3	5	7	-10	14
8	Kilmarnock	14	2	7	5	-5	13
9	Aberdeen	15	3	3	9	-12	12
10	ST Johnstone	14	2	4	8	-12	10
11	Ross County	15	1	5	9	-20	8
12	Livingston	15	1	3	11	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.