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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Kilmarnock
U S T S T
0–0
Full-time
Motherwell
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
45%
71%
Both score Ø 54%
45%
62%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Motherwell 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 17 2 1 +48 53
2 Rangers 20 12 4 4 +21 40
3 Dundee United 21 9 7 5 +8 34
4 Aberdeen 21 10 4 7 +2 34
5 Motherwell 21 9 3 9 -7 30
6 St Mirren 22 8 3 11 -10 27
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -4 26
8 Dundee 21 7 4 10 -4 25
9 Ross County 22 6 7 9 -16 25
10 Kilmarnock 22 6 6 10 -12 24
11 Hearts 22 6 5 11 -6 23
12 ST Johnstone 22 4 3 15 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Dec -24 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 1–1 3. Feb -24 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 1–1 4. Nov -23 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–0 26. Aug -23 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–1 6. May -23 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Motherwell
Bradley Lyons ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
27′
38′
🟨 Andy Halliday
Marley Watkins 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 P. McGinn
↦ L. Gordon
63′
🔁 T. Sparrow
↦ J. Vale
J. Burroughs 🔁
↦ K. Magennis
65′
71′
🟨 Ewan Wilson
76′
🔁 K. Andrews
↦ A. Halliday
76′
🔁 S. O'Donnell
↦ M. Kaleta
76′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ T. Maswanhise
D. Armstrong 🔁
↦ F. Murray
77′
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ C. Ndaba
78′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-2-1
20 R. McCrorie G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
6 R. Deas D
8 B. Lyons M
16 K. Magennis M
31 L. Polworth M
3 C. Ndaba M
15 F. Murray F
24 B. Wales F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
2 J. Burroughs
11 D. Armstrong
19 B. Anderson
12 D. Watson
22 L. Donnelly
1 K. O'Hara
51 O. Bainbridge
7 R. McKenzie
14 G. Mackay-Steven

Coach: D. McInnes

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
13 A. Oxborough G
5 K. Balmer D
4 L. Gordon D
15 D. Casey D
21 M. Kaleta M
6 D. Zdravkovski M
11 A. Halliday M
23 E. Wilson M
55 T. Maswanhise F
77 J. Vale F
52 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
16 P. McGinn
7 T. Sparrow
54 K. Andrews
2 S. O'Donnell
24 M. Ebiye
20 S. Blaney
8 C. Slattery
1 K. Hegyi
19 S. Nicholson

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
🔒
U ✓
3,44
🔒
B
3,76
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,99
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.