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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Kilmarnock

U T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Motherwell

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Motherwell

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

This season — Premiership · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

30%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

64%

60%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

20 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 5. · Motherwell 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Rangers	11	8	0	3	+18	24
3	St Mirren	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Hearts	11	4	2	5	-1	14
5	Kilmarnock	11	3	4	4	+0	13
6	Aberdeen	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Hibernian	11	2	5	4	-3	11
8	Motherwell	10	3	2	5	-4	11
9	Dundee	10	2	5	3	-6	11
10	Ross County	11	2	4	5	-9	10
11	Livingston	11	2	4	5	-9	10
12	ST Johnstone	10	1	4	5	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Rangers	6	4	0	2	+7	12
3	Kilmarnock	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	St Mirren	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Hearts	6	2	2	2	-1	8
6	Motherwell	6	2	1	3	-2	7
7	Hibernian	6	1	3	2	+0	6
8	Dundee	5	1	3	1	-4	6
9	ST Johnstone	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Livingston	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Aberdeen	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Ross County	5	1	1	3	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Rangers	5	4	0	1	+11	12
3	St Mirren	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Aberdeen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
5	Hearts	5	2	0	3	+0	6
6	Ross County	6	1	3	2	-5	6
7	Dundee	5	1	2	2	-2	5
8	Hibernian	5	1	2	2	-3	5
9	Livingston	6	1	2	3	-6	5
10	Motherwell	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Kilmarnock	5	0	2	3	-4	2
12	ST Johnstone	5	0	2	3	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.