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Premiership
Referee: K Clancy
Motherwell
T S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
30%
24%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
58%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 8. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 33 30 2 1 +78 92
2 Rangers 33 25 4 4 +47 79
3 Aberdeen 33 17 2 14 +0 53
4 Hearts 33 14 6 13 +7 48
5 Hibernian 33 13 5 15 -3 44
6 St Mirren 33 12 8 13 -11 44
7 Livingston 34 12 6 16 -21 42
8 Motherwell 33 10 7 16 -4 37
9 ST Johnstone 33 9 6 18 -20 33
10 Dundee United 33 8 7 18 -22 31
11 Kilmarnock 33 8 7 18 -29 31
12 Ross County 34 8 6 20 -22 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -23 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–1 23. Dec -22 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 27. Aug -22 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 2–1 1. May -21 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–0 20. Mar -21 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 4–1

Match report

Motherwell Kilmarnock
1–0 B. Spittal ⚽
J. Furlong
4′
Sean Goss 🟨
29′
41′
🟨 Joe Wright
44′
🟨 Christian Doidge
Half-time 1–0
57′
🔁 R. Alebiosu
↦ A. Power
57′
🔁 L. Polworth
↦ D. Watson
Callum Slattery 🟨
58′
H. Paton 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
70′
76′
🔁 Jordan Jones
↦ R. McKenzie
76′
🔁 B. Wales
↦ S. Robinson
S. O'Donnell 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
85′
89′
🔁 B. Alston
↦ A. Taylor
S. Blaney 🔁
↦ J. Furlong
91′
2–0 K. van Veen ⚽
L. Kelly
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-1-2
1 L. Kelly G
16 P. McGinn D
66 C. Butcher D
52 D. Casey D
22 M. Johnston M
27 S. Goss M
8 C. Slattery M
24 J. Furlong M
7 B. Spittal F
21 M. Mandron F
9 K. van Veen F
Bench (9)
53 H. Paton
2 S. O'Donnell
20 S. Blaney
38 L. Miller
15 J. Aitchison
17 S. McKinstry
5 B. Mugabi
4 R. Lamie
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 S. Walker G
19 J. Wright D
5 A. Taylor D
24 L. Chambers D
11 D. Armstrong M
34 D. Watson M
22 L. Donnelly M
4 A. Power M
7 R. McKenzie M
16 S. Robinson F
26 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
25 R. Alebiosu
31 L. Polworth
10 Jordan Jones
29 B. Wales
8 B. Alston
3 J. Dorsett
1 Z. Hemming
17 B. Lyons
2 L. Mayo

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,18
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B
3,34
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,03
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,76
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Clancy · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.