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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Motherwell
U T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
35%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
64%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 3
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 10. · Kilmarnock 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 4 2 +39 58
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 23 13 3 7 +9 42
4 Kilmarnock 23 8 8 7 +1 32
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Dundee 21 6 8 7 -4 26
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -6 26
8 Aberdeen 22 6 7 9 -9 25
9 ST Johnstone 23 5 9 9 -13 24
10 Motherwell 22 4 9 9 -9 21
11 Ross County 22 4 7 11 -14 19
12 Livingston 23 2 7 14 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Nov -23 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–0 26. Aug -23 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–1 6. May -23 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–0 25. Feb -23 Kilmarnock – Motherwell 1–1 23. Dec -22 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2

Match report

Motherwell Kilmarnock
13′
⚽ L. Mayo 0–1
36′
🟨 Joe Wright
1–1 T. Bair ⚽
B. Spittal
38′
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Danny Armstrong
68′
🔁 G. Stewart
↦ K. Vassell
68′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ D. Armstrong
L. Miller 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
77′
Calum Butcher 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Greg Stewart
Blair Spittal 🟨
85′
85′
🟨 Stuart Findlay
86′
🔁 G. Mackay-Steven
↦ M. Kennedy
86′
🔁 K. van Veen
↦ M. Watkins
86′
🔁 L. Donnelly
↦ L. Polworth
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ D. Zdravkovski
89′
95′
🟨 Kevin van Veen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Motherwell

5-4-1
1 L. Kelly G
2 S. O'Donnell D
5 B. Mugabi D
66 C. Butcher D
16 P. McGinn D
3 G. Gent D
12 H. Paton M
17 D. Zdravkovski M
11 A. Halliday M
7 B. Spittal M
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
38 L. Miller
19 S. Nicholson
27 J. Buyabu
30 M. Ferrie
15 D. Casey
21 A. Devine
13 A. Oxborough
28 J. Vale
20 S. Blaney

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 W. Dennis G
5 L. Mayo D
4 J. Wright D
17 S. Findlay D
19 T. Davies D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
31 L. Polworth M
10 M. Kennedy M
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
21 G. Stewart
7 R. McKenzie
39 G. Mackay-Steven
99 K. van Veen
22 L. Donnelly
18 I. Cameron
15 F. Murray
20 K. O'Hara
14 J. Balagizi

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
🔒
U ✓
3,28
🔒
B
2,39
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,99
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.