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Premiership

Referee: E Anderson

Hearts

U S S T S

3–1

Full-time

St Mirren

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 35%

33%

37%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 54%

59%

48%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 7. · St Mirren 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	28	23	3	2	+67	72
2	Rangers	27	17	5	5	+32	56
3	Aberdeen	28	12	5	11	-8	41
4	Dundee United	27	11	7	9	+2	40
5	Hibernian	27	9	10	8	+1	37
6	St Mirren	27	10	4	13	-7	34
7	Hearts	27	9	6	12	+0	33
8	Ross County	28	8	8	12	-19	32
9	Kilmarnock	27	8	7	12	-11	31
10	Motherwell	27	9	4	14	-16	31
11	Dundee	27	7	6	14	-19	27
12	ST Johnstone	28	7	3	18	-22	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	13	1	0	+45	40
2	Rangers	14	12	1	1	+29	37
3	Aberdeen	14	8	2	4	+5	26
4	Hibernian	14	6	5	3	+6	23
5	Kilmarnock	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Dundee United	13	6	3	4	+5	21
7	Hearts	13	5	3	5	+1	18
8	St Mirren	14	5	3	6	+0	18
9	Motherwell	13	5	3	5	-5	18
10	Ross County	14	4	5	5	-3	17
11	Dundee	14	4	3	7	-5	15
12	ST Johnstone	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	10	2	2	+22	32
2	Rangers	13	5	4	4	+3	19
3	Dundee United	14	5	4	5	-3	19
4	St Mirren	13	5	1	7	-7	16
5	Hearts	14	4	3	7	-1	15
6	Aberdeen	14	4	3	7	-13	15
7	Ross County	14	4	3	7	-16	15
8	Hibernian	13	3	5	5	-5	14
9	Motherwell	14	4	1	9	-11	13
10	Dundee	13	3	3	7	-14	12
11	ST Johnstone	14	3	2	9	-13	11
12	Kilmarnock	14	2	3	9	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.