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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
St Mirren
T T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Hibernian
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
36%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
72%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
52%
64%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Mirren 9. · Hibernian 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 22 3 1 +64 69
2 Rangers 26 17 5 4 +34 56
3 Aberdeen 26 11 5 10 -5 38
4 Dundee United 26 10 7 9 +1 37
5 Hibernian 25 8 9 8 +0 33
6 Kilmarnock 26 8 7 11 -10 31
7 Motherwell 26 9 4 13 -15 31
8 Hearts 26 8 6 12 -1 30
9 St Mirren 25 9 3 13 -9 30
10 Ross County 26 7 8 11 -20 29
11 Dundee 26 7 6 13 -17 27
12 ST Johnstone 26 6 3 17 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Hibernian
Ryan Alebiosu 🟨
29′
39′
🟨 Nectarios Triantis
Half-time 0–0
E. Bwomono 🔁
↦ R. Alebiosu
46′
56′
🔁 K. Bowie
↦ D. Gayle
Alexander Gogić 🟨
65′
Marcus Fraser 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 J. Obita
↦ J. Iredale
71′
🔁 A. Manneh
↦ Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
72′
🟨 Alasana Manneh
J. Ayunga 🔁
↦ T. Olusanya
73′
G. Kiltie 🔁
↦ M. OHara
73′
75′
ℹ️ Warren O'Hora
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Jonah Ayunga 🟨
82′
O. Smyth 🔁
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
83′
84′
🟨 Alasana Manneh
84′
🟥 Alasana Manneh
88′
🔁 L. Miller
↦ C. Cadden
88′
🔁 N. Moriah-Welsh
↦ N. Cadden
O. Oseni 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
92′
95′
🟨 Martin Boyle
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
2 R. Alebiosu M
88 K. Phillips M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
6 M. O'Hara M
24 D. John M
20 T. Olusanya F
9 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
42 E. Bwomono
7 J. Ayunga
11 G. Kiltie
8 O. Smyth
19 O. Oseni
26 L. Kenny
27 P. Urminský
23 D. Adeniran
14 J. Scott

Coach: S. Robinson

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
13 J. Smith G
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
12 C. Cadden M
26 N. Triantis M
18 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
19 N. Cadden M
32 J. Campbell F
10 M. Boyle F
34 D. Gayle F
Bench (9)
20 K. Bowie
21 J. Obita
8 A. Manneh
2 L. Miller
22 N. Moriah-Welsh
1 J. Bursik
23 J. Hoilett
99 M. Kuharevich
35 R. Molotnikov

Coach: D. Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,19
U ✓
3,21
B
2,28
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.