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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hearts
S S T T S
2–0
Full-time
St Mirren
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,8
1,2
Scored
1,2
0,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 43%
47%
39%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
29%
44%
Both score Ø 34%
29%
39%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · St Mirren 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 13 3 2 +29 42
2 Rangers 17 13 1 3 +27 40
3 Hearts 17 8 2 7 +2 26
4 St Mirren 18 7 5 6 -1 26
5 Kilmarnock 18 6 6 6 +1 24
6 Hibernian 18 6 6 6 -2 24
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 18 4 6 8 -13 18
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 18 3 7 8 -9 16
12 Livingston 17 2 5 10 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Sep -23 St Mirren – Hearts 1–0 13. May -23 St Mirren – Hearts 2–2 8. Apr -23 Hearts – St Mirren 0–2 13. Jan -23 Hearts – St Mirren 1–0 7. Jan -23 St Mirren – Hearts 1–1

Match report

Hearts St Mirren
2′
🟨 Alexander Gogić
22′
🟨 Scott Tanser
1–0 L. Shankland ⚽
A. Cochrane
33′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 L. Shankland ⚽
A. Denholm
49′
63′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ A. Greive
63′
🔁 S. Nahmani
↦ G. Kiltie
63′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ J. Ayunga
Nathaniel Atkinson 🟨
66′
C. Nieuwenhof 🔁
↦ B. McKay
66′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
66′
73′
🔁 M. Mandron
↦ T. Small
73′
🔁 C. Boyd-Munce
↦ M. OHara
T. Sibbick 🔁
↦ N. Atkinson
74′
76′
🟨 Caolan Boyd-Munce
Craig Halkett 🟨
78′
M. Tait 🔁
↦ A. Denholm
84′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-3
28 Z. Clark G
2 F. Kent D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
13 N. Atkinson M
22 A. Denholm M
6 B. Baningime M
19 A. Cochrane M
11 Y. Oda F
9 L. Shankland F
18 B. McKay F
Bench (9)
8 C. Nieuwenhof
17 A. Forrest
21 T. Sibbick
25 M. Tait
1 C. Gordon
30 K. Tagawa
3 S. Kingsley
77 K. Vargas
5 P. Haring

Coach: S. Naismith

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
16 T. Small M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
21 A. Greive F
7 J. Ayunga F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
24 L. Jamieson
19 S. Nahmani
20 T. Olusanya
9 M. Mandron
15 C. Boyd-Munce
8 R. Flynn
18 C. Dunne
2 J. Bolton
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
🔒
U
3,40
🔒
B
3,92
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,12
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.