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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Kilmarnock

S S S T T

0–4

Full-time

Dundee United

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,7

2,0

Scored

2,8

0,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

6,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

4,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-2,5

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,03 xG 3,50

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 8

8 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kilmarnock 12. · Dundee United 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	+5	+6.9	6
2	Dundee	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.1	6
3	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.2	6
4	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
5	Hearts	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.2	3
6	ST Johnstone	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
7	Hibernian	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
8	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	3
9	Rangers	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.1	1
10	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.4	1
11	Dundee United	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.8	1
12	Kilmarnock	2	0	0	2	-5	-5.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.5	3
2	Dundee	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
3	ST Johnstone	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
4	Aberdeen	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.3	3
5	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
6	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Motherwell	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
8	Dundee United	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.3	1
9	Hibernian	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Rangers	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
11	Falkirk	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
12	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-4	-4.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	1	1	0	0	+4	+4.8	3
2	St Mirren	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Dundee	2	1	0	1	+1	-1.6	3
4	Motherwell	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Hibernian	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
6	Rangers	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
7	Falkirk	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
8	Kilmarnock	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
9	Hearts	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
10	ST Johnstone	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Dundee United	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.